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Re: General November Weather
Posted: Tue 21/11/2023 09:13
by Razor
Looks like a good southerly spell in the back end of this week. Decent rain for the garden hopefully
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Tue 21/11/2023 12:43
by Storm Struck
Much stronger supported convergence tomorrow for about and west of the main divide. Perhaps a few isolated cells further east on the plains too, but probably just in the form of heavy showers.
Thursday evening after a very warm day possibly around 28C, presents an evening low risk on the wind change too.
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Tue 21/11/2023 14:42
by David
Looking a bit ominous here currently
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Tue 21/11/2023 15:04
by spwill
A fine day here, convergence out to the east but not expecting there be much from it for Auckland. See what the cold air does later in the week.
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Tue 21/11/2023 17:05
by David
To the east/southeast
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Tue 21/11/2023 17:49
by David
Nice structure! Very distant deep rumble just heard I think…
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Tue 21/11/2023 19:46
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
mikestormchaser wrote: ↑Tue 21/11/2023 06:57
Big numbers for the mt peel area tomorrow. If this pulls off storms will be explosive! Maybe even a LP Supercell
7pm sounding inland timaru
There looks like a slight CAP at 800mb which could be the issue but otherwise see what happens
See what happens tomorrow.
Here is a picture of some Cu over the 5 Peaks on our way back from Timaru this afternoon, all gone an hour or so later.
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Tue 21/11/2023 22:46
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Blue dome day with moderate NE winds.
Some weak Cu forms along the foothills.
Warm here as compared to Timaru. 23C for today.
I see that it is Wellington's turn for "Clagg" today with disruption to flights from the airport.
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Wed 22/11/2023 08:54
by BeaconHill
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: ↑Tue 21/11/2023 22:46
I see that it is Wellington's turn for "Clagg" today with disruption to flights from the airport.
Was certainly a bad day to be trying to get in or out of Wellington Airport yesterday. People kept joking about the "lack of wind" causing the issue, but it was a 20 knot southerly nearly all day. It was the Relative Humidity sitting at 99% or higher, and the cool sea temps in Cook Strait that was causing the issue! Was misty rain first thing (made for a damp bike ride into work), but as the day went on, the roads in town started to dry out. By 6pm it was a stunning evening with clear sky.
There was a mad rush of flights between 10 and 11pm from Auckland and Chch to relocate planes, but there will still be a massive backlog of people to clear in coming days. Pity the people being offered hotel rooms for (apparently) over $800 last night!
Also plane related.... The forecast for the 'delayed' Wings Over Wairarapa airshow on the weekend does not look good at all. Up to 30knot southerly and rain for the 3 days (Practice on Friday). They are having bad luck given it was delayed from earlier in the year due to the aftermath of Cyclone Gabriel (and Air Force involvement in response activities).
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Wed 22/11/2023 13:28
by Razor
The Nor' easter this week has certainly been ruining the weather in ChCh. Thanks to Tony's explanation the other night on FB too, I finally fully understand why and how this works, and why its seemingly worse in an El Nino year.
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Wed 22/11/2023 14:11
by Richard
Just got back from CHCH where as you say Nor' easter is not overly pleasant, hardly a leaf moving here and 23deg, hopefully this warmth will get something going later the afternoon, a few bubbling clouds around the hills at the moment
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Wed 22/11/2023 17:58
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Nothing much happening down here. A few bubblies going up but nothing developing. Better chance tomorrow.
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Wed 22/11/2023 18:27
by Richard
That was a fizzier of a storm day alright. Maybe tomorrow?
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Wed 22/11/2023 18:38
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Richard wrote: ↑Wed 22/11/2023 18:27
That was a fizzier of a storm day alright. Maybe tomorrow?
Didn't look like it as surface conditions not really favourable even though it was a warm day here.
I think
Black Friday should be renamed
Bleak Friday as it does look like a bleak day after the southerly comes through late tomorrow?
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Wed 22/11/2023 18:55
by Orion
Must be summer: windows open in my home, and obviously in the neighbour's, as I can hear their television going.
Also it's warmer indoors (23.8°C) than outdoors (21.8°C) now.
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Wed 22/11/2023 19:07
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Orion wrote: ↑Wed 22/11/2023 18:55
Must be summer: windows open in my home, and obviously in the neighbour's, as I can hear their television going.
Also it's warmer indoors (23.8°C) than outdoors (21.8°C) now.
Warm day here too. Details later this evening.
As I said inn an earlier posting, it's going to be a Bleak Friday here after the cold front comes through tomorrow
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Wed 22/11/2023 20:33
by Richard
Long time coming but today was the first summery day with 26deg max
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Wed 22/11/2023 20:40
by mikestormchaser
The mt peel area has finally fired up tonight. Perhaps not as explosive as it could have been but it's happening. Ashburton might even get a clap of thunder. Won't chase tonight as by time I leave rolleston and get down their it probably will die.
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Wed 22/11/2023 21:02
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
mikestormchaser wrote: ↑Wed 22/11/2023 20:40
The mt peel area has finally fired up tonight. Perhaps not as explosive as it could have been but it's happening. Ashburton might even get a clap of thunder. Won't chase tonight as by time I leave rolleston and get down their it probably will die.
Interesting? Didn't look like much from here, although I did take a photo of it's back edge.
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Wed 22/11/2023 21:08
by harleyb
Don't tell Elon but Twitter is alive and well in Taihape...
20231122_205954.jpg
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Wed 22/11/2023 21:19
by darcyplumb
mikestormchaser wrote: ↑Wed 22/11/2023 20:40
The mt peel area has finally fired up tonight. Perhaps not as explosive as it could have been but it's happening. Ashburton might even get a clap of thunder. Won't chase tonight as by time I leave rolleston and get down their it probably will die.
Dry here at the moment but I can see the menacing clouds inland and north of town.
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Wed 22/11/2023 21:25
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: ↑Wed 22/11/2023 21:02
mikestormchaser wrote: ↑Wed 22/11/2023 20:40
The mt peel area has finally fired up tonight. Perhaps not as explosive as it could have been but it's happening. Ashburton might even get a clap of thunder. Won't chase tonight as by time I leave rolleston and get down their it probably will die.
Interesting? Didn't look like much from here, although I did take a photo of it's back edge.
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Wed 22/11/2023 21:29
by Razor
Whole thing just didn't fire today. I blame the sheer annoyance and strength of the NE
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Wed 22/11/2023 22:49
by RODALCO
Interesting that nothing here is mentioned about the mesocyclone which formed this afternoon over Auckland. Various photo's and video's are on the web.
Re: General November Weather
Posted: Wed 22/11/2023 22:53
by RODALCO
Photo taken from Newshub. Supposedly Tuesday evening.
2023-11-22_22-49-39.png