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NZTS Thunderstorm Potential Code - updated

Posted: Sun 12/12/2004 15:20
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
I suppose I better put the updated NZTS Thunderstorm Potential Code so people won't get confused ...or whatever :?

NZTS Thunderstorm Potential code



The colour coded level of alertness is a follows:

Blue not likely but the potential is there
Indigo quite probable
Violet quite on the cards
Orange yes looks likely
Red ....well you know what that means ?

JohnGaul
NZTS

Posted: Sun 12/12/2004 15:23
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
....by the way, I have a 1 out for today and tomorrow and a 4 for Thursday :)

JohnGaul
NZTS

Posted: Tue 14/12/2004 18:45
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:....by the way, I have a 1 out for today and tomorrow and a 4 for Thursday :)

JohnGaul
NZTS
4 now more likely on Friday ???

JohnGaul
NZTS

Posted: Tue 14/12/2004 20:55
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Looking good into next week with 1 for every day and a 4 again for next Tuesday and Thursday :)

JohnGaul
NZTS

Posted: Tue 14/12/2004 21:18
by spwill
The weather outlook still looks very unsettled but at least it has become more interesting. :D

Posted: Thu 16/12/2004 19:26
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
I have amended tomorrow to be a 3 - quite on the cards at the moment. but things could change depending on circumstsnces which at the moment do look likely? 8)

Next weeks predictions may have to amended as well :(

JohnGaul
NZTS

Posted: Sun 19/12/2004 18:16
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Wednesday 22nd 5

JohnGaul
NZTS

Posted: Sun 19/12/2004 21:18
by TonyT
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:Wednesday 22nd 5

JohnGaul
NZTS
Crikey, what are you smoking John? I only put "risk of showers" in the forecast... :lol:

Posted: Mon 20/12/2004 22:24
by 03Stormchaser
Johns rating is based on what metservice say, I have noticed this before with dramatic changes to his ratings after metservice have changed theres!

Local knowledge??

Posted: Mon 20/12/2004 23:51
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
03 Stormchaser wrote:Johns rating is based on what metservice say, I have noticed this before with dramatic changes to his ratings after metservice have changed theres!

Local knowledge??
No it's not :?:
What dramatic changes?

JohnGaul
NZTS

Posted: Wed 22/12/2004 17:23
by TonyT
TonyT wrote:
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:Wednesday 22nd 5

JohnGaul
NZTS
Crikey, what are you smoking John? I only put "risk of showers" in the forecast... :lol:
Full credit, well done John a good call. Whatever you are smoking I want some! :lol:

Posted: Wed 22/12/2004 18:58
by 03Stormchaser
By the looks of things the next couple of days dont look to bad, then the 27th is also looking all right

Posted: Wed 22/12/2004 19:39
by Storm Struck
John stop video taping your wifes garden lol :lol: Whats the potential for TS next few days especially tomora?.
Ohh and did you get anything on video tape as well?.
Cheers
JASON TIPPET.

Posted: Wed 22/12/2004 22:50
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
TonyT wrote:
TonyT wrote: Crikey, what are you smoking John? I only put "risk of showers" in the forecast... :lol:
Full credit, well done John a good call. Whatever you are smoking I want some! :lol:
Thanks.
Well, I'm smoking for a possible 3 on Monday and a 3 for one day next week, I'm not too sure at the moment :-k :-k
don't forget, I still have a 4 for tomorrow, this depends on cloud clearance

JohnGaul
NZTS

Posted: Thu 23/12/2004 22:28
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
3 for Monday cancelled.
Nothing much coming up at the moment but stay posted :)

JohnGaul
NZTS

Posted: Thu 30/12/2004 19:40
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Looking good for tomorrow. :)
I have a 1 posted.
This depending on cloud clearance.

JohnGaul
NZTS

Posted: Thu 30/12/2004 20:19
by Storm Struck
John I thought a (1) which you mentioned for tomora meant a very low chance of TS happening according to your scale on page one but what u r saying is probly a 4 or a 5 correct me if iam wrong on that but the number you put up on potenial code is a 1 and thats vewry low risk.?
I could be wrong.
Not that it's a problem either just thought id point it out.
Cheers
JASON TIPPET.

Posted: Thu 30/12/2004 20:39
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Jasestrm wrote:John I thought a (1) which you mentioned for tomora meant a very low chance of TS happening according to your scale on page one but what u r saying is probly a 4 or a 5 correct me if iam wrong on that but the number you put up on potenial code is a 1 and thats vewry low risk.?
I could be wrong.
Not that it's a problem either just thought id point it out.
Cheers
JASON TIPPET.
Hi Jason.
I think that because of cloud cover TS risk is quite low ...but if a thunderstorm does happen tomorrow, it does.
I never had a thunderstorm warning for today, despite MetService's high risk in their Severe/Potential Thunderstorm Outlook. I thought that the situ was not the right one for TS development despite the unstablness of the atmosphere. Too cloudy.

JohnGaul
NZTS