Fine Forecasts

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Tue 26/10/2004 08:11

Lately we get told of fine forecasts that never actually materalize The rain is now bucketing down in a humid 16c

Manukau heads obs · Tue 26/10/2004 08:48

i would not call drizzle bucketing down

on the sat image, low , warm temperature cloud like this is hard to spot
yeah, there was no real clearence from after the fton
and now its all coming back onto us from the NE with the next low in the tasman

Manukau heads obs · Tue 26/10/2004 08:52

although the rain radar does show bits of heavier rain around

ricky · Unread post by **ricky** » Tue 26/10/2004 09:43

14mm here in grey lynn over the last 1.5 hrs looks to be easing now though..

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Tue 26/10/2004 09:45

Heavy showers comming through here this morning.

Manukau heads obs · Tue 26/10/2004 09:52

humm, we missed that bolb of heavy rain here, but the farm got it
its coming in lines down from the NNW

(all part of the weak warm front over us by the looks)
i see the boltect is getting strikes in those cb's in the low center way to the NW ricky!

ricky · Unread post by **ricky** » Tue 26/10/2004 11:13

yes, some of those strikes showing on the outer circle are a bit further out in reality I think, the response is too good over sea!
Stevens correlated map http://www.templeton.gen.nz/weather/SVcorrelated.html
is showing a better fix on the odd stike that he is picking up in chch as well, that map is based just on strike bearing..

can see them well here..
http://flash.ess.washington.edu/L_plot_weather_map.jpg
and http://flash.ess.washington.edu/TOGA_ne ... l_maps.htm for more up to date.. (if theyre theyre still showing when you read this lol)

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Tue 26/10/2004 11:42

Yes, non stop rain/drizzle all morning with heavy bursts of rain. 25mm here this morning. Must have been an an area of convergence over Auckland.

A bit brighter now with just light rain, light NE.

Thunder · Unread post by **Thunder** » Tue 26/10/2004 12:12

I like the look of some developing cumulus towers outside over B'sP at the moment, that's all I say for now

Manukau heads obs · Tue 26/10/2004 12:17

25mm!
wow, only 1mm here
yes, it was a slow moving line of rain...right over the city, on the rain radar
it has now moved off to the SE

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Tue 26/10/2004 16:39

Aaron J Wilkinson wrote:I like the look of some developing cumulus towers outside over B'sP at the moment, that's all I say for now

Yes Aaron,
Sorry for the late posting, I gave today a 1 for today

Not good now

JohnGaul
NZTS

Thunder · Unread post by **Thunder** » Tue 26/10/2004 16:52

No, no good now by the looks of things. Always nice to see a bit of punchy Cu though.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Tue 26/10/2004 18:23

the reason why I gave that 1 was because of a convergence risk as evident by those clouds.
It was southerly in Halswell and Ne here.

JohnGaul
NZTS