Tropical Cyclone Tim - Coral Sea

[Nev]

TC Tim off the NW Qld coast has just been named the BoM...

IDQ20066
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Queensland Region
Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre

TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION BULLETIN
For 10:50 am EST on Thursday 14 March 2013
At 10 am EST Thursday, Tropical Cyclone Tim (Category 1) with central pressure
991 hPa was located over the northwest Coral Sea near latitude 14.2 south
longitude 148.5 east, which is about 420 km northeast of Cairns and 285 km
northwest of Willis Island.

The low is moving southeast at about 26 kilometres per hour.

Tropical cyclone Tim is expected to continue moving east-southeast across the
Coral Sea over the next few days and is likely to slowly strengthen. There is
currently no direct threat to Queensland during the next few days.

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TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION
Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0050 UTC 14/03/2013
Name: Tropical Cyclone Tim
…
REMARKS:
DT4.0 based on curved band of 1.1 on VIS at 2332UTC. SSMIS 85GHz at 1953UTC
supports this structure and 39 knot observed mean wind at Bougainville Reef at
7am EST confirms strengthening trend. MET and PAT give 3.5, with a constrained
FT of 3.0 based on restriction of 0.5 change in 6 hours. 2306UTC Ascat shows
strong gales to the west of LLCC.

Deep layer steering flow is consistently NW through depth for the next few days
provided by monsoon flow and upper trough over eastern Australia.

The system lies in a region of NW shear, which should steadily increase over the
next 2 to 3 days. This is likely to slow further development, and lead to
weakening from Saturday onwards. Following this period, weakening of the upper
trough and development of low level ridging to the south should push the remains
of the system, most likely below tropical cyclone strength, westwards towards
the Queensland coast.

[Tornado Tim]

I was waiting until my name was called

Images courtesy of CIMSS

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Sound like a divorced couple trying to make amend, Tim chasing Sandra in order to get back together