Southerly gales and heavy rain, March 3rd to 6th

cantygal · Unread post by **cantygal** » Sun 02/03/2014 06:50

Just looking at the latest weather data and it seems very cold but also wet and windy for eastern parts of the country coming up this week-yuk! Are we all thinking it's looking fairly average?
http://www.metvuw.com/forecast/forecast ... noofdays=7

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sun 02/03/2014 08:26

Monday looks icy with some coastal lightning/small hail a possibility given the airmass is so cold and sea temps quite warm. Both Christchurch and Wellington should hear thunder.

Tuesday has the low pressure system deepening out to the east of the country. Something to watch.

GFS 4 day rainfall prediction for what its worth.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Sun 02/03/2014 20:12

I think it will be a windy, as well as, a wet southerly this coming week with that depression out to the east of Canterbury/Otago really revving it up.

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Sun 02/03/2014 21:49

Yes ,i see models showing 50mm to 80mm over two days for some towns in Canterbury,great to get that much rain early autumn,might even get field mushrooms popping up.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Sun 02/03/2014 22:17

It's time for a downpour, well, heavy rain or substantial rain and this system could deliver, as a result of a series of events, developing to the east of the SI.
Warm seas, cold upper air temperatures, etc., you have the ingredients.

melja · Unread post by **melja** » Sun 02/03/2014 22:47

Yes looks a perfect setup for flooding type rains some were in canterbury

Looks a lot like a late winter or sept oct type wet windy system we get here in Canterbury and I wouldn't be surprised if the wind flow was more on shore than the forecast has it.

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Mon 03/03/2014 07:54

Sure has got off to a wet start after it arrived with a thump and gale around 5am

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Mon 03/03/2014 09:22

Queenstown, currently 4.2C in showery weather, luckily the NZ Golf Open finished yesterday.

CWUweather · Unread post by **CWUweather** » Mon 03/03/2014 09:48

Yes Gale early this morning when the rains arrived. Clearing now but still only 7deg. Expect more rain this afternoon before clearing overnight and returning with a vengeance tomorrow morning! Very cold times!

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Mon 03/03/2014 10:14

Sea temps as Nzstorm has mentioned and given enough daytime heating before the trough arrives this arvo should spark up thunderstorms/hail. Heres hoping!

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Mon 03/03/2014 10:26

Here's hoping aright,gees ive done a lot of hoping this summer

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Mon 03/03/2014 11:01

120-150mm possible for the Peninsula according to latest Metservice warnings...thats rather damp

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Mon 03/03/2014 11:03

Richard wrote:Here's hoping aright,gees ive done a lot of hoping this summer

Your more enclined to get the inland heat showers when they accour Richard. . Hasnt been the best season for that unfortunately

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Mon 03/03/2014 11:15

Yes the last three summer really,the storms that move from the N & NE have just not happened

einzack · Unread post by **einzack** » Mon 03/03/2014 12:01

a cold 8.2°C and light rain.
just before 4am turned southerly and dropped from a balmy 12.1°C and haven't got near it since.

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Mon 03/03/2014 12:21

About to turn showery here in town. Chain showers lining up on radar. Pretty sure I just heard thunder too

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Mon 03/03/2014 12:36

Just had a brief hail shower here stones up to pea sized, and another one developing now with the odd stone in the mix.
Autumn sure is here early this year.

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Mon 03/03/2014 15:25

Looks nasty to my SW and S at present, big squall line approaching. Have a great view out the 5th floor of my CBD vantage point

einzack · Unread post by **einzack** » Mon 03/03/2014 15:45

we just had a very impressive hail storm pass through.
hail up to 10-15cm across for 5 or so mins.
never seen anything like it.
tried to grab a photo and video but might have been too late.
temp dropped from 14.9°C at 3:23pm to 7.4°C now 20min's later.

Karliosis · Unread post by **Karliosis** » Mon 03/03/2014 15:46

Very heavy hail shower here 10 mins ago

spike_01 · Unread post by **spike_01** » Mon 03/03/2014 15:54

No rain in Welly yet, but won't be long..

Temp dropping..

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Mon 03/03/2014 15:58

Razor wrote:Looks nasty to my SW and S at present, big squall line approaching. Have a great view out the 5th floor of my CBD vantage point

I do miss my pre-eq view from the 7th floor in the CBD on days like today.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Mon 03/03/2014 16:21

Nice Cb and Cu forms going up to the west at the moment

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Mon 03/03/2014 17:31

Distend rumble to the west a few moments ago.

This afternoon has seen passing showers with one very heavy one at 3.00,been westerly most of the day but has turned more S in the last half hour

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Mon 03/03/2014 18:03

The skies today have been delivering weather that you would expect in June or July

NZ Weather Forum

Southerly gales and heavy rain, March 3rd to 6th

Southerly gales and heavy rain, March 3rd to 6th

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