lets get predictin'

Manukau heads obs · Wed 11/05/2005 17:52

someone gathered some images into an animation

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Wed 11/05/2005 18:01

Awsome clip! I have saved some flshes as well!!

Manukau heads obs · Wed 11/05/2005 18:16

note that that is a street light there, LOL
hope the usa bound lads get some action like that!

its easing off now
http://www.carterlake.org/wx6.php

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Wed 11/05/2005 18:24

Clip looks great, thanks for that Brian. Have seen Storms in Australia that have continuous Lightning.

I see there were Tornado's again in Iowa and Nebraska, USA today.

NZstorm and I head over to the US next Friday, hope that Thunderstorm action over there this week continues through May.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Wed 11/05/2005 18:28

Yes a few supercells popped up today over Nebraska and also the Texas Panhandle. And a number of tornadoes reported from the northern storms as well as golf ball size hail over the Texas panhandle. A repeat performance is expected tomorrow...the dilemma for chasers, which area to target. LI's to -10 CAPE 2500 over Nebraska while lower CAPE over the Panhandle. The big advantage with Panhandle storms is that they develop within mainly clear skies so they are more photogenic. They tend to be LP supercells too.

Yes Spwill, fingers crossed for some severe weather.

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Wed 11/05/2005 18:41

Mild sunny day in Chch, continuing the pattern of 'mini indian summers' alternating with cold wet southerly outbreaks over recent weeks.

Manukau heads obs · Wed 11/05/2005 18:44

yeah, sorry about poaching the thread with that news flash, LOL
(better to get excited about a thunderstorm than the prospect of a foot and mouth outbreak being real)

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Wed 11/05/2005 18:49

Manukau heads observer wrote:yeah, sorry about poaching the thread with that news flash, LOL
(better to get excited about a thunderstorm than the prospect of a foot and mouth outbreak being real)

Whats the latest on it??

Awsome stuff from the us today!!

Photo taken by Mike Hollingshead

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Wed 11/05/2005 19:09

Is anyone going to see if they can see the coast flashes agin tonight? Aaron? I see one is already placed wat to close to Steven's tracker!!

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Wed 11/05/2005 20:08

This picture of a developing storm over Iowa today.

http://home.mchsi.com/~kbkaplan/wx/

That pic that Stormchaser posted looks to from Grand Island Nebraska today. Some other chasers have similar pics. Great looking mesocyclone.

Manukau heads obs · Wed 11/05/2005 20:12

looks pretty scary being that close to where a tornado could have developed!

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Wed 11/05/2005 20:33

Wouldnt it be better to go to a tropical island

spwill wrote: NZstorm and I head over to the US next Friday, hope that Thunderstorm action over there this week continues through May.

Thunder · Unread post by **Thunder** » Wed 11/05/2005 20:45

Yes Micheal, great suggestion! A tropical island would be good for some night time lightning photography! lol

Awsome supercell 03storm! And thanks for the link NZstorm. I'm sure you guy's will get some great stuff! Do you fear not liking NZ's thunderstorms when you come back due to you seeing stuff that is better? I hope not!

Cool animation Brian, yeah. That's what they look like.

There is one or two strikes on the metservice tracker from what I can see in the alps west of Chch. The guts of it still looks further south though so I'll probably be asleep at that stage.

Cheers.

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Wed 11/05/2005 20:48

With a photo like thesupercell above how are the lines like that so distinctive (sp?) or have they opened there lense for longer??

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Wed 11/05/2005 20:54

Awsome stuff from the us today!! Photo taken by Mike Hollingshead

So they've arrived! Let's hope they're friendly.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Wed 11/05/2005 21:30

To the Williams brothers
I hope is all well on your trip to Tornado Alley and elsewhere.
Hope you get lots of good storms
Be Safe

JohnGaul
NZTS

Manukau heads obs · Wed 11/05/2005 21:56

for nzstorm and spwill:
http://www.anythingweather.com/

has some good free storm chase maps links down the bottom of that page
slow to load though....and i found you have to click on the stop /play button a few times

wish i was still going with you guys (timing is all wrong!)

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Thu 12/05/2005 07:17

To the Williams brothers
I hope is all well on your trip to Tornado Alley and elsewhere.
Hope you get lots of good storms
Be Safe

Cheers John. depart 20th May.

has some good free storm chase maps links down the bottom of that page
slow to load though....and i found you have to click on the stop /play button a few times

Tks for the link Brian.

With a photo like thesupercell above how are the lines like that so distinctive (sp?) or have they opened there lense for longer??

Quite a dramatic cloud scape. Perhaps the shutter has been left open for a bit as there would be a very low light situation under that storm. I believe warm very dry air from the rear flank downdraught scours the warm moist air from the inflow into the storm. Two very different air types don't want to mix.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Thu 12/05/2005 12:13

John, thanks for your good wishes for our USA storm chase trip.
I just hope Mother Nature puts on a good show while we are over there.

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Thu 12/05/2005 15:10

It's gonna be freeeeezing come Tuesday morning over NZ!
Free-air freezing levels at just 300m for a time over Invercargill

Rain heaviest here Sunday night now with warm muggy NE/NW. Rain developing Saturday.

Manukau heads obs · Thu 12/05/2005 15:21

Rain developing Saturday.

i would add a 12 hour delay to that?
things never come in (sometimes they do though) quite as fast as always predicted
the ridge between the 2 big lows needs to be shifted out to our eastthough....maybe it wont/cant and we wil be sandwhiched between the 2 lows?

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Thu 12/05/2005 19:13

Rain clearing the Sthrn QLD region now... (20mm there today in Brisbane)

Low will track southwards and eastwards and will broaden Saturday & Sun(when we will see the rain) It will then deepen Monday and track westwards towards Australia again, giving Sydney rain on Monday with southerlies. That low will stick around there until about Thursday, after that who knows, though a strong cold front should brew up near WA and the HP system to the south-centre of the continent should weaken...

Cold cold here Tues-Thurs as I said on the other post

http://www.weatherzone.com.au/charts/is ... ?chart=sum

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Thu 12/05/2005 20:00

Also, a high risk of thunderstorms for Northland on Sunday afternoon as rain eases.
Potential for heavy tropical downpours the next coming days over the northern NI, but it seems we aren't immune from them anymore!

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Thu 12/05/2005 21:53

Yes some reasonable cold air next week but what levels could snow lower too I guess it depends how cold the air gets and where the low tracks.

Here's a pic I took this morning of some whispy high cloud lovly and red this was a breif vail which had obviously gone over us over night with those west coast TS.
Cheers
JASON

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Fri 13/05/2005 10:30

America is getting it again today lucky buggers!

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/