High temperatures - Jan 23 to Feb 01

David · Unread post by **David** » Fri 19/01/2018 13:38

Still some hot weather on the cards next week. GFS 850mb temp for 4pm next Thursday:

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Fri 19/01/2018 14:57

There are high dewpoint temperatures next week as well, a humid week on the cards for much of NZ.
Current dewpoint in Auckland is 20C, temp 25C, fine conditions this afternoon after morning cloud and early morning showers.

RWood · Unread post by **RWood** » Fri 19/01/2018 16:20

The cloudy humid junk over the NI so far this month is resembling January 1956. But most of the SI was sunnier then and the greatest temperature anomalies were in Central Otago, South and Mid Canterbury. Dryness was also more widespread.

Bradley · Unread post by **Bradley** » Fri 19/01/2018 16:33

David wrote: Fri 19/01/2018 13:38 Still some hot weather on the cards next week. GFS 850mb temp for 4pm next Thursday:

I seriously think the Christchurch January record of 35.9C back in 1979 could be under threat next Thursday if the current forecast 850hpa temps nudging 20C stay correct...

midgrove · Unread post by **midgrove** » Fri 19/01/2018 17:32

ecmwf_multi.jpg

The ECMWF showing similar warmth

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Fri 19/01/2018 18:12

31 or 32 on the cards here. Been a couple years since we have had that heat.

cbm · Unread post by **cbm** » Fri 19/01/2018 21:14

Could be wrong but I think Hamilton Airport has only exceeded 31C once since early 1998. March 2013 when a funny pocket of foehn heated air from the ESE came through mid afternoon.

Sent from my SM-N950F using Tapatalk

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Fri 19/01/2018 22:06

cbm wrote:Could be wrong but I think Hamilton Airport has only exceeded 31C once since early 1998. March 2013 when a funny pocket of foehn heated air from the ESE came through mid afternoon.

Oh really? There’s been what I remember a few occasions in the last say 15 years where 30 and 31 has been recorded. But come to think of it yes hard to recall 32 or more. My station has a record temp of 31.9 in 2008. Think the station was in Hamilton east at that time, so urban. Think since it’s been here the max has been about 30.5 or maybe 31. I’d have to go digging for that.

Nev · Unread post by **Nev** » Sat 20/01/2018 07:08

cbm wrote: Fri 19/01/2018 21:14 Could be wrong but I think Hamilton Airport has only exceeded 31C once since early 1998. March 2013 when a funny pocket of foehn heated air from the ESE came through mid afternoon.

Hamilton Aero recorded 31.0C in Jan 2008, but only managed 30.7C in March 2013. However, Ruakura recorded 32.6C in March 2013 and, not only is it the highest temp it has recorded since its all-time record of 34.7C in Dec 1935 since records began in 1906, but it is also the only time that either site has ever recorded 30.0C or more in March. Hamilton Aero's highest ever temp is 31.3C recorded in Jan 1975, Jan 1974 and Feb 1973 since records began in 1970.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sat 20/01/2018 07:25

GFS has 30C on Thursday for Auckland also. The heat fairly widespread across NZ.

cbm · Unread post by **cbm** » Sat 20/01/2018 08:01

Nev wrote:
cbm wrote: Fri 19/01/2018 21:14 Could be wrong but I think Hamilton Airport has only exceeded 31C once since early 1998. March 2013 when a funny pocket of foehn heated air from the ESE came through mid afternoon.
Hamilton Aero recorded 31.0C in Jan 2008, but only managed 30.7C in March 2013. However, Ruakura recorded 32.6C in March 2013 and, not only is it the highest temp it has recorded since its all-time record of 34.7C in Dec 1935 since records began in 1906, but it is also the only time that either site has ever recorded 30.0C or more in March. Hamilton Aero's highest ever temp is 31.3C recorded in Jan 1975, Jan 1974 and Feb 1973 since records began in 1970.

Thanks for that info. Had always wondered when that 34.7 max I had seen quoted had occurred. And missed that Ruakura had gone that high that day in March 2013.

Sent from my SM-N950F using Tapatalk

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Sat 20/01/2018 08:22

With this pattern there will be some high mean temperatures for January across NZ. Auckland minimums around 20C for the next week.

David · Unread post by **David** » Sat 20/01/2018 11:18

Creating a new topic for this, considering some areas are likely to break records.

GFS chart for air temperature 1pm Thursday 25th:

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Sat 20/01/2018 18:00

GFS showing 34 at 4pm in Hamilton on Friday. I’ll believe that when I see it.

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Sun 21/01/2018 16:14

Backed off for canterbury, I asked MS directly they said 32C for us.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Sun 21/01/2018 16:23

The humidity will make it feel much warmer than those temps suggest, high humidex values this week.

David · Unread post by **David** » Sun 21/01/2018 18:05

GFS has pulled back a bit for the temperatures here on Thursday. Only showing 27 now...

David · Unread post by **David** » Mon 22/01/2018 20:14

Friday looking like the hottest day in the north now. Around 32 showing for Hamilton.

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Mon 22/01/2018 22:05

Don’t often see a forecast like this from MetService. That’s a warm week ahead

IMG_6822.JPG

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Tue 23/01/2018 07:19

Today is the start of a hot period for down here as well , 5 days out of the next 8 over 30deg. Nothing really unusual, just the last few years there hasnt been the long runs of hot days

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Tue 23/01/2018 07:48

Now looking like early next week the real heat arriving in Canterbury, mid 30's, Thursday has come way back this week, Wed should be our highest

David · Unread post by **David** » Tue 23/01/2018 08:00

I'm wondering why the GFS forecast high temps in the north have dropped quite a bit as the 850mb temps this week are still modeled as high as 18C.

Chris W · Unread post by **Chris W** » Tue 23/01/2018 08:17

Friday is looking like the only day in the latter half of January to dip below 25C in Chch, at 23. The remainder of this week and into next looks to continually push at 30C or even more. Wednesday looks particuarly interesting this week, and then the BOM has the warm airmass really cranking into next week. Polar jet not getting a look in and not that much of a subtropical jet until next week.

Chris W · Unread post by **Chris W** » Tue 23/01/2018 08:22

Struggling to edit that post, but I see that the 19th and 21st were also below 25C here.

tgsnoopy · Unread post by **tgsnoopy** » Tue 23/01/2018 08:52

Man we are a dodging it big time here in Tauranga, not that far offshore to our NE is fair dumping! Luckily for us the moisture was lost coming across the Coromandels as it came down, so we have been spared. If the direction was a lil North we'd be in big trouble right now. Take a gander at the Rain Radar if you haven't been watching. I'm finally happy I can leave for work, but will be leaving the sand bags in place over the downstairs doors.

NZ Weather Forum

High temperatures - Jan 23 to Feb 01

High temperatures - Jan 23 to Feb 01

Re: General January Weather

Re: General January Weather

Re: General January Weather

Re: General January Weather

Re: General January Weather

Re: General January Weather

General January Weather

Re: General January Weather

Re: General January Weather

Re: General January Weather

Re: General January Weather

High temperatures 23-27 January

Re: High temperatures 23-27 January

Re: High temperatures 23-27 January

Re: High temperatures 23-27 January

Re: High temperatures 23-27 January

Re: High temperatures 23-28 January

Re: High temperatures 23-28 January

Re: High temperatures 23-28 January

Re: High temperatures 23-28 January

Re: High temperatures 23-28 January

Re: High temperatures 23-28 January

Re: High temperatures 23-28 January

Re: High temperatures 23-28 January