General July Weather

[tornado]

The first week of July looks to be warm and wet. both are what we needing. warmth and rain.

[Richard]

looking warm and dry down this way though till at least mid week

[Razor]

Yes looks mild and disturbingly dry. A real crisis for the snow industry looming soon I fear

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[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

. A real crisis for the snow industry looming soon I fear

Yes with another intense anticyclone coming our way

[melja]

Most club ski areas aren't going to be round in 10years time with the current rate of snow level rise.

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[Orion]

Red, red pre-sunrise sky with NW arch at present, +3.8°C.
Colour turning quickly to orange.

[Richard]

Most club ski areas aren't going to be round in 10years time with the current rate of snow level rise.

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looking around the webcams Dobson and Rainbow dont look good

[Cyclone Tracy]

My 2 cents worth for July.

Subtropical moisture is finally arriving around the NZ longitudes, a few days later than expected from mid June observations but it should deliver some decent totals to parts of the NI and SI this week as per TT's new thread https://www.weatherforum.nz/phpBB3/view ... f=2&t=5982.

The stratosphere and troposphere are starting to couple. A warming signal in the stratosphere has been developing through June, especially over the mid latitudes. A mild warming occurred over parts of the polar cap around 2 weeks ago. Ensembles are now showing negative zonal wind anomalies around the polar jet stream in 10 days time. The SAM index is now projecting to become negative in around 10 days from now. An aggressive outbreak of upper polar lows and strong fronts is becoming more likely in mid July when stronger long wave troughs propagate towards NZ.

[NZstorm]

Just glancing the latest gfs, looks like a heavy warm advective snow event possible for the volcanic plateau end of the week. Snow on Canterbury foothills as well.

[David]

It feels weird that it rained today with the pressure around 1030 hPa. Can't be a very common occurrence.

[tornado]

It feels weird that it rained today with the pressure around 1030 hPa. Can't be a very common occurrence.

it was nice and sunny for the whole morning and then light rain for the afternoon. 1 minute it did not look like it was gonna rain and then bang clouds came in started raining.

[Orion]

Temperature 16.5°C here at present, was around 13° a couple of hours ago.
Sounds like a gusty wind outside, cloudy sky.

[Richard]

18.2 here at 6.00am in July is crazy stuff, there will be heaps of snow gone I would think too.

[Dean.]

16 at 5am July....must be close to July minimum records around Canterbury

[Richard]

16 at 5am July....must be close to July minimum records around Canterbury

Was that the overnight minimum?

Noticed the 10cm soil temps out in my paddock have climbed from 2.3deg on 29/6 to 6.7deg atm

[Dean.]

Balmy for July

[Skywatcher]

A new record July high temp for my station of 22.0C in a breezy NW (previous was 21.4).

[Captain Salty]

Is there a problem with Himawari? The same sat picture's been stuck for 24hrs on metservice and another site

[melja]

Not been great for the ski areas, hardly looks like mid winter.
Cheeseman and Mt Hutt.

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[Skywatcher]

Is there a problem with Himawari? The same sat picture's been stuck for 24hrs on metservice and another site

Looks ok on satview: http://satview.bom.gov.au/

[jamie]

17.9 degrees today. My record is 18.1 back in 2012 and it was on the 28th of the month. Not the start!


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[cbm]

Quite a drop of rain for models to predict for lowland/inland area.

rainfall.JPG

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Rained overnight but cleared away to be a nice sunny warm day for July.
NW freshoned up a bit later this afternoon.

[melja]

Canterbury weather updates pushing a story about snow to sea level in chch mid month, very unprofessional so far out!

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[Bradley]

Canterbury weather updates pushing a story about snow to sea level in chch mid month, very unprofessional so far out!

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They will say they prefaced that statement with "remember we're a long way out" so they have effectively managed people's expectations...it's a fine line that's for sure, everyone wants to be the first to forecast a big event on social media!