Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Bradley · Unread post by **Bradley** » Fri 09/08/2019 08:22

Big downgrade in this mornings run of EC with moisture levels cut in half and the snow line increasing to 500m - the farmers will be relieved that’s for sure!

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Fri 09/08/2019 09:18

Bradley wrote: Fri 09/08/2019 08:22 Big downgrade in this mornings run of EC with moisture levels cut in half and the snow line increasing to 500m - the farmers will be relieved that’s for sure!

That doesn't make it fact

snowchaser01 · Unread post by **snowchaser01** » Fri 09/08/2019 09:20

Razor wrote: Fri 09/08/2019 09:18
Bradley wrote: Fri 09/08/2019 08:22 Big downgrade in this mornings run of EC with moisture levels cut in half and the snow line increasing to 500m - the farmers will be relieved that’s for sure!
That doesn't make it fact

Agreed still a lot of twists and turns with this

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Fri 09/08/2019 09:34

Looking like decent snow for South Canterbury/North Otago hill country.

The higher western suburbs of Dunedin should pick up some snow.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Fri 09/08/2019 10:15

Met Service warning

Area: Canterbury about and south of Rangitata River and North Otago
Valid: 24 hours from 10:00am Saturday to 10:00am Sunday
Forecast: Snow is forecast to lower to 300 metres Saturday morning with significant falls expected above 500 metres. Expect 30 to 40cm of snow to accumulate above 500 metres. Pleas note, heavy rain is expected below the snow level and a Heavy Rain Watch has been issued.

Growler · Unread post by **Growler** » Fri 09/08/2019 11:07

Chch CBD will get 75cm of snow!

Surrounding regions will get 2-3m and we will go to Martial Law, people will start trading rice for petrol.

You heard it here first!

Chris W · Unread post by **Chris W** » Fri 09/08/2019 11:11

Worth noting the heavy rain watch for Canterbury as well, MS moisture has pulled back slightly today but still some yellows around Chch city late Saturday into Sunday.

Cyclone Tracy · Unread post by **Cyclone Tracy** » Fri 09/08/2019 12:06

The BoM's high resolution model Access R on the latest 18Z run, now supporting the UKMet on precip levels into Canterbury from Saturday.

Growler · Unread post by **Growler** » Fri 09/08/2019 12:10

Cyclone Tracy wrote: Fri 09/08/2019 12:06 The BoM's high resolution model Access R on the latest 18Z run, now supporting the UKMet on precip levels into Canterbury from Saturday.

damn..... will it get cold enough to turn white on the plains?

Cyclone Tracy · Unread post by **Cyclone Tracy** » Fri 09/08/2019 13:03

Growler wrote: Fri 09/08/2019 12:10
Cyclone Tracy wrote: Fri 09/08/2019 12:06 The BoM's high resolution model Access R on the latest 18Z run, now supporting the UKMet on precip levels into Canterbury from Saturday.
damn..... will it get cold enough to turn white on the plains?

The uncertainty on many levels is associated with the cut off low's in the Tasman and how they behave today. In my opinion, projected snow levels probably wont be confidently known until tomorrow morning.

TonyT · Unread post by **TonyT** » Fri 09/08/2019 13:07

Growler wrote: Fri 09/08/2019 12:10
Cyclone Tracy wrote: Fri 09/08/2019 12:06 The BoM's high resolution model Access R on the latest 18Z run, now supporting the UKMet on precip levels into Canterbury from Saturday.
damn..... will it get cold enough to turn white on the plains?

No

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Fri 09/08/2019 14:30

Been a blue dome day here today but clouds are forming towards the Mt. Peel/4 Peaks area.
Wonder what it will be like this time tomorrow ?

Orion · Unread post by **Orion** » Fri 09/08/2019 14:37

^ same here, blue dome day but I see clouds on the western horizon.

snowchaser01 · Unread post by **snowchaser01** » Fri 09/08/2019 18:16

A lot of moving parts with this system... my opinion is there are still twists and turns to come even though we are only really 12 hours out. Will be one of those systems we don't know for sure until its happening. Part of South Canterbury above 500m look in line for a dump and a half, but i guess we will see tomorrow. Planning on heading into tekapo tomorrow morning (early) for a look...

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Fri 09/08/2019 18:19

snowchaser01 wrote: Fri 09/08/2019 18:16 A lot of moving parts with this system... my opinion is there are still twists and turns to come even though we are only really 12 hours out. Will be one of those systems we don't know for sure until its happening. Part of South Canterbury above 500m look in line for a dump and a half, but i guess we will see tomorrow. Planning on heading into tekapo tomorrow morning (early) for a look...

Tekapo yes. No twists down to sea level or chch. Just cold rain

Dean. · Unread post by **Dean.** » Fri 09/08/2019 18:23

Hmm east southeast flow the snow may peter out once past Burkes Pass

snowchaser01 · Unread post by **snowchaser01** » Fri 09/08/2019 18:31

Yea wasn't meaning sea level by any stretch haha, i'm happy too consider other ideas for good places to head if Tekapo isn't a good idea.. so fire away!

snowchaser01 · Unread post by **snowchaser01** » Fri 09/08/2019 18:34

Dean. wrote: Fri 09/08/2019 18:23 Hmm east southeast flow the snow may peter out once past Burkes Pass

The moisture is feeding in from the W or NW though? So wind will be SE... but might not get blocked by the pass? Could well be wrong though

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Fri 09/08/2019 19:10

It was very white around the Burke's Pass area around Queens Birthday WE with that system so will be interesting to see how snow will fall around the inland hills around South Canterbury.
Interesting wavy cloud forming over Geraldine today later this afternoon.
Photos later.

Orion · Unread post by **Orion** » Fri 09/08/2019 19:13

^ I noticed some cloud, that had a wavy striated appearance underneath, here also.

Dean. · Unread post by **Dean.** » Fri 09/08/2019 19:16

Temperature dropping away here in Hanmer with a few spots of rain....any moisture down south this evening?

Chris W · Unread post by **Chris W** » Fri 09/08/2019 19:31

That’s to come tomorrow, just a pleasant and mild evening with little wind in Chch.

Bradley · Unread post by **Bradley** » Fri 09/08/2019 19:33

Up at Mt Hutt today, was an amazing start to the day with around 3C at the base and light winds but it quickly clouded over from the NW around 1pm, no snow but conditions deteriorated surprisingly quickly up there but still plenty of time in the morning to get some good runs in

Hard to believe this will all be under 50-100cm this time Sunday...

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Orion · Unread post by **Orion** » Fri 09/08/2019 20:22

Drizzle here in Ashburton, can hear cars swishing by.

SnwAddct · Unread post by **SnwAddct** » Fri 09/08/2019 20:49

Bradley wrote: Fri 09/08/2019 19:33 Up at Mt Hutt today, was an amazing start to the day with around 3C at the base and light winds but it quickly clouded over from the NW around 1pm, no snow but conditions deteriorated surprisingly quickly up there but still plenty of time in the morning to get some good runs in Hard to believe this will all be under 50-100cm this time Sunday...

Looks great! I fly into christchurch this sunday and will be spending the week at hutt before driving down to queenstown for another few days at remarks and cardrona! Looks like my timing was spot on this year! Could be an epic powder day on Monday

NZ Weather Forum

Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Re: Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Re: Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Re: Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Re: Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Re: Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Re: Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Re: Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Re: Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Re: Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Re: Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Re: Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Re: Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Re: Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Re: Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Re: Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Re: Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Re: Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Re: Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Re: Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Re: Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Re: Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Re: Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Re: Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Re: Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August

Re: Heavy rain weekend and very cold blast 10-16th August