Next Heavy Rain event 25-28 July

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Tue 26/07/2022 08:45

I'm at a loss as to why this hasn't been upgraded from a Watch to a warning to be honest.

Orion · Unread post by **Orion** » Tue 26/07/2022 08:55

Razor wrote: Mon 25/07/2022 19:43 The heavier stuff seems to be setting in earlier than expected here. I see Porters Pass has snow falling. Going to be some big avo risks going forward on the fields

I have seen "avo" as an abbreviation for "avocado".
Does "avo" mean "avalanche"?
Respectfully, I think correct terminology is important.

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Tue 26/07/2022 08:57

Orion wrote: Tue 26/07/2022 08:55
Razor wrote: Mon 25/07/2022 19:43 The heavier stuff seems to be setting in earlier than expected here. I see Porters Pass has snow falling. Going to be some big avo risks going forward on the fields
I have seen "avo" as an abbreviation for "avocado".
Does "avo" mean "avalanche"?
Respectfully, I think correct terminology is important.

Sorry for offence caused but I am a tramper and a mountain man and avo is a daily used word.

Orion · Unread post by **Orion** » Tue 26/07/2022 09:00

^ Respectfully, those unfamiliar with the territory will be most in need of the correct word.

David · Unread post by **David** » Tue 26/07/2022 09:18

Tipped out 30.5mm in my manual gauge this morning, for this event.

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Tue 26/07/2022 09:27

Orion wrote: Tue 26/07/2022 09:00 ^ Respectfully, those unfamiliar with the territory will be most in need of the correct word.

Yes, I agree

Lawrence · Unread post by **Lawrence** » Tue 26/07/2022 10:06

Orion wrote: Tue 26/07/2022 09:00 ^ Respectfully, those unfamiliar with the territory will be most in need of the correct word.

The foibles of multiculturalism.

Bradley · Unread post by **Bradley** » Tue 26/07/2022 10:24

Razor wrote: Tue 26/07/2022 08:45 I'm at a loss as to why this hasn't been upgraded from a Watch to a warning to be honest.

The models just aren't showing rainfall greater than 50mm within 6 hours or 100mm within 24 hours for Christchurch area so based on that criteria only (obviously not taking into account saturated ground) then I guess that makes them technically correct...

darcyplumb · Unread post by **darcyplumb** » Tue 26/07/2022 10:58

If the rain intensity does increase as forecast this afternoon, I wouldn’t be surprised to see a State of Emergency declared for Christchurch.

darcyplumb · Unread post by **darcyplumb** » Tue 26/07/2022 12:46

Gusty easterly now blowing in Ashburton, rain gradually getting heavier.

snowstormwatcher · Unread post by **snowstormwatcher** » Tue 26/07/2022 12:59

So far the heavier rainfall in South Canterbury seems more confined to Coastal areas Rather than inland, most foothill Ecan gauge's showing less than 35mm today, Persistent moderate rain here since late last night with 32mm so far. Lots of surface water around here but nothing noteworthy yet.

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Tue 26/07/2022 15:09

Its absolutely thumping down here at Lincoln Uni. Suspect Civil Defence is going to be busy tonight. Looking at the Ecan gauges it won't be surprising to see many of the ChCh and peninsula sites over 100mm for the 24 hours- too late to bother with a warning now I guess

Cantab03 · Unread post by **Cantab03** » Tue 26/07/2022 16:31

Rain band looks to be mainly lingering now south of CHCH thank goodness. If it had lined up with the metservice 3 hourly model forecast then it would have spelt real trouble.

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Tue 26/07/2022 18:12

I sense its not quite done with us yet. Some tremendous flooding on the way back home from Lincoln

Lawrence · Unread post by **Lawrence** » Tue 26/07/2022 18:15

Bradley wrote: Tue 26/07/2022 10:24
Razor wrote: Tue 26/07/2022 08:45 I'm at a loss as to why this hasn't been upgraded from a Watch to a warning to be honest.
The models just aren't showing rainfall greater than 50mm within 6 hours or 100mm within 24 hours for Christchurch area so based on that criteria only (obviously not taking into account saturated ground) then I guess that makes them technically correct...

I concur.
Just hit over 60mm for the event so far, expecting just light drizzle for the rest of the night as the system moves away.

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Tue 26/07/2022 18:37

Heavy rain again in Halswell, radar looking busy again

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Tue 26/07/2022 18:46

Hopefully no death occurred from this, but if, why didn't MS issue a red warning in the first place to cover their whatsits!
Lots of water around here from today's rain, the street didn't seem to flood as the local council did a bit of work on the soakpits.
40mm so far.

Cantab03 · Unread post by **Cantab03** » Tue 26/07/2022 19:40

Heaviest rain of the day here last 30 mins. Pelting down! If this stalls we are in trouble as a city.

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Tue 26/07/2022 20:07

Yes the past 90 minutes has been the wettest I've seen it today. Fairly widespread falls too by the radar

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Tue 26/07/2022 20:36

Check out the Ecan gauges. Akaroa, Duvauchelle, Cust and Kainga have past 100mm in the past 24 hours. A few more sites round greater Chch might join them at the current rate of falls.

Edit I was wrong re Cust,, my apologies- just under 100mm there but several urban sites are now into the 80s

Lawrence · Unread post by **Lawrence** » Tue 26/07/2022 20:52

Rain rates have increased significantly in the last hour now, replacing the constant drizzle.
Very concerning, considering I was convinced that the system was moving away to the south west.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Tue 26/07/2022 22:58

66.2mm for this event from 10pm last night.

Tracy Herbert · Unread post by **Tracy Herbert** » Wed 27/07/2022 01:38

Heavy rain in Rakaia in these early hours

LinksviewAcres · Unread post by **LinksviewAcres** » Wed 27/07/2022 07:49

State Highway 1 between Glenavy & St andrews ( South of timaru ) is closed. I live in Waimate, commute to Timaru. No work for me today!

Bradley · Unread post by **Bradley** » Wed 27/07/2022 07:52

88mm for the whole event here in West Melton, a good 20mm less then the airport…

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