North Island 19 -21 st July - dooozey!

C-Nimbus · Unread post by **C-Nimbus** » Thu 13/07/2006 15:19

looks to be a real pearler on the cards for this time next week. May pay to keep an eye out if your in the BOP/Hawkes Bay region yet again.

Models suggest quite a tight centred low to be present on thursday morning. If it pans out then there could be gale force winds from the SE too which may have the potential to cause damage.

Metvuw has it at about 980Hpa on thurs morning.

crikey

Andy · Unread post by **Andy** » Thu 13/07/2006 17:02

Yes looking Nasty

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Thu 13/07/2006 18:33

This would be the low which is execpted to fire lots of welcome rain to SE and some central parts of Australia.
Although It's a wee way out and models can change looks like the low might colide with a cold front from the south

.
But I say no more and hope the models go as they are showing.
Considering this low system we have now has decided to go to sleep.

Cheers
Jason.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Thu 13/07/2006 18:39

Nah! . It will be nothing.
Weather gets boring at times like this

JohnGaul
NZTS

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Fri 14/07/2006 09:10

Looks like you can cancel this prediction now...blocking high coming to ruin the party

C-Nimbus · Unread post by **C-Nimbus** » Fri 14/07/2006 09:31

yeah man .....bastardoooos!

oh well ya never know things could change, i think we can still expect some significant rain fall late next week

squid · Unread post by **squid** » Fri 14/07/2006 12:01

looks like this is another NI event, with the low already formed and starting to deepen, heavy rain warning is out from Gisbone to WAIRARAPA.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Sun 16/07/2006 11:20

The Low will be tracking further North this time so Northland ,Coromandel and BOP most likely in the firing line for any heavy rain from Wendsday.

Stunning day here in the South Easterly.

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Sun 16/07/2006 22:48

Jasestrm wrote:This would be the low which is execpted to fire lots of welcome rain to SE and some central parts of Australia.
Although It's a wee way out and models can change looks like the low might colide with a cold front from the south .
But I say no more and hope the models go as they are showing.
Considering this low system we have now has decided to go to sleep.
Cheers
Jason.

agreed mate

Shepherds Valley WX · Mon 17/07/2006 07:14

I hope it won't affect the Wellington region....we have a AB's Test this Saturday night vs the Bok's at the Caketin... be great to put the Sth Africans under the hammer on a dry and hopefully fast track!!!

Anyone keen to make a long range prediction for this Saturday nights weather?

ricky · Unread post by **ricky** » Mon 17/07/2006 08:26

Cold Southerly!

C-Nimbus · Unread post by **C-Nimbus** » Mon 17/07/2006 09:15

ricky wrote:Cold Southerly!

i'll second that!, hence why i have just ordered firewood for this week..

Brrrrr for later on!

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Mon 17/07/2006 16:10

Shepherds Valley WX wrote:I hope it won't affect the Wellington region....we have a AB's Test this Saturday night vs the Bok's at the Caketin... be great to put the Sth Africans under the hammer on a dry and hopefully fast track!!!

Anyone keen to make a long range prediction for this Saturday nights weather?

FOG

JohnGaul
NZTS

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Mon 17/07/2006 16:12

In Windy

Wellington at this time of year...somehow I doubt it

Manukau heads obs · Tue 18/07/2006 07:57

pea soup fog here this morning, very thick
which i see Ricky has too in auckland
http://www.weather-display.com/windy/gb/webcamjava.html
http://www.portunus.net.nz/weather/cam.jpg

auckland airport could be affected?

C-Nimbus · Unread post by **C-Nimbus** » Wed 19/07/2006 14:22

EEEEUGGHH!!! gross day here in Auckers,

grey, grey, grey, michael, grey, grey, oh a drizzly rainy stuff!

look out coro and BOP 2moro i'd say

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Wed 19/07/2006 14:31

C-Nimbus wrote:EEEEUGGHH!!! gross day here in Auckers,

grey, grey, grey, michael, grey, grey, oh a drizzly rainy stuff!

look out coro and BOP 2moro i'd say

Coro today I'd say.

At least its not SW

C-Nimbus · Unread post by **C-Nimbus** » Wed 19/07/2006 15:34

heavy persistent rain in Newmarket now...

spike_01 · Unread post by **spike_01** » Wed 19/07/2006 15:40

Rain here... Only light so far...

huttcrazy · Unread post by **huttcrazy** » Wed 19/07/2006 16:42

Persistent rain in Lower Hutt now. Looks like the worst of this system is going slightly further North than originally thought now.

Cheers

James

PS to Macca. A wisp of drizzle in a decaying Southerly for Saturday evening. Its not looking too bad at the moment.

C-Nimbus · Unread post by **C-Nimbus** » Wed 19/07/2006 16:45

...and heres why its persistent boring rain...

just a big sheet of nimbostratus covering most of the NI.

I doubt there'd be any funder and lightning in that one...tho metservice have a moderate warning out.

tropo is at about 10,000m but i dont know if thats enuff height for T/S??

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Wed 19/07/2006 17:04

I doubt there'd be any funder and lightning in that one...tho metservice have a moderate warning out.

tropo is at about 10,000m but i dont know if thats enuff height for T/S??

Yes, there were some storms (weak) West/NW of Northland ( out to Sea) this morn.

Dull with mod rain here

, 10mm, currently 13C.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Wed 19/07/2006 17:42

tropo is at about 10,000m but i dont know if thats enuff height for T/S??

10,000m would be a high topped thunderstorm for this time of year. Generaly NZ winter thunderstorm tops are around the 7 to 9000m mark.

Should have unstable lapse rates over northern NZ tommorrow but a lack of forcing keeps the thunder risk down.

Manukau heads obs · Wed 19/07/2006 18:14

been quite heavy rain here...dense rain.....25mm or so now...

Manukau heads obs · Wed 19/07/2006 19:43

a relatively tight low center has developed near us here....on the front..to the south of us now...the wind has gone W and increased surprisingly quickly....and the rain has eased...31mm now...