
Unstable from 8th Nov
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For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
These topics are a read-only archive and may be subject to out-of-date information.
For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
Yesterdays Ts passed nearly overhead, 14mm here just SE, 30mm. A little further south had reports of hail still on the ground this morning. Only small hail here with the heaviest rain. Looking good at this stage for a repeat performance. Cu development has kicked of earlier today. Fingers crossed.
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
Some nice T/Cu forming way to the south and SE, so looks like metservice have picked todays convection well again
May see some evening flickers
Here in Auckland its trying but getting nowhere. Just some straggly T/Cu (if that), but there is more development on the western side of the waitaks.
But all in all a cracker of a day to be a JAFA

May see some evening flickers

Here in Auckland its trying but getting nowhere. Just some straggly T/Cu (if that), but there is more development on the western side of the waitaks.
But all in all a cracker of a day to be a JAFA

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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
Yes, cracker
spring weather here for a change.
Radar shows a few showers developing over South Ak, can't see down that way at the moment but I dont expect there will be much.

Radar shows a few showers developing over South Ak, can't see down that way at the moment but I dont expect there will be much.
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
On my walk home I noted about 4 large cumulus, mainly to the SSW where there was quite a grey rain base visible.
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
Enjoy it while you can,SouthWesterlies again on the way

spwill wrote:Yes, crackerspring weather here for a change.
Radar shows a few showers developing over South Ak, can't see down that way at the moment but I dont expect there will be much.
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
rapidly deveoping cb moving from the SSW by the looks of it, very dark and heavy rain base visible. Hopefully it comes my way 

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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
some more nice inland Cb's today, these ones arent as close as yesterday tho.
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
Unfortunately we have it abeit light enough to make the s↓↕ts of weeds to come up again unable to dry out after weeding

David wrote:rapidly deveoping cb moving from the SSW by the looks of it, very dark and heavy rain base visible. Hopefully it comes my way
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
CB over the waitaks 

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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
the same Cb again, its really grown and i heard some thunder from it before.
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
MetService has some thundery weather promised for Canterbury tomorrow.
I thought that maybe chances were a bit slim but looks as things may pick up, well looked what happened yesterday and there was a big NO THUNDERSTORMS wording across the SI Chart. Mind you Paul porbably dosen't work WEs ???
As Steven W. said situs like yesterday can be hard to predict
JohnGaul
NZTS

I thought that maybe chances were a bit slim but looks as things may pick up, well looked what happened yesterday and there was a big NO THUNDERSTORMS wording across the SI Chart. Mind you Paul porbably dosen't work WEs ???
As Steven W. said situs like yesterday can be hard to predict

JohnGaul
NZTS
JohnGaul
NZThS
NZThS
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
Just been out to observe the formation that Brian mentioned before. Light showers with biggish drops for about the last hour, but not enough to get excited about.
Pretty cool tho to have the ol' convection happening
Pretty cool tho to have the ol' convection happening

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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
Had a heavy shower here about half an hour ago, totalling 3.2mm in under 10minutes with large rain drops as well. Thought it would have gone for longer but with convergence you can never tell which cloud is going where
The NE is gone too and a light SW in its place and temperature has dropped right down so activity will probably be petering out soon, as convergence and land heat are gone.

The NE is gone too and a light SW in its place and temperature has dropped right down so activity will probably be petering out soon, as convergence and land heat are gone.
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
in the Midwest, we would have called today high base junk, LOL
still , its a start!
still , its a start!
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
still some nice convection out to the west of me
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
A couple of weakish cb's 'late in the day, thunder heard. Early on it looked a little more promising than that but thats the way it goes.
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
Evening showers here and an incredible sunshower too with the sun dropping under the horizon giving an amazing rainbow (WOW!) 

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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
It just poured down here at around 5:30ish and the kept up for about half an hour before easing and eventually petering off at 8ish
nice warm Summer type rain
nice warm Summer type rain

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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
Unfortunately metservice are on the button with this forecast but then again South Westerlies are so easy to forecast 

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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
Achten, do you have any further details about the 30mm on Sunday, like where it was and over what period the 30mm fell? Thanks.Achten wrote:Yesterdays Ts passed nearly overhead, 14mm here just SE, 30mm.
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
Looking very interesting now ,lots of unstable weather.Just got these from M /S
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{ROADSNOW Event 2007/1.205}
Issued by MetService at 10:58am Tuesday 13th November 2007 Valid until 9:00pm Tuesday 13th November
ARTHURS PASS
Snow is likely to lower onto Arthurs Pass this evening. Between 9pm Tuesday and 9am Wednesday, up to 5 to 10cm could accumulate at the top of the Pass, mainly on the eastern side. Lighter accumulations are expected down to 600 metres.
LINDIS PASS
Some light snow showers are expected on the Pass overnight. Between 6pm Tuesday and 3am Wednesday, 1 or 2 cm could accumulate at the top of the Pass, with a dusting down to 700 metres.
PORTERS PASS
Snow is expected to lower onto Porters Pass this evening. Between 9pm Tuesday and 9am Wednesday, 10 to 15cm is expected to accumulate at the top of the Pass, with lighter accumulations down to 600 metres.
MILFORD ROAD
A few snow showers are likely on higher parts of the road from late afternoon Tuesday to the early hours of Wednesday. However, only a dusting is expected to accumulate.
(C) Copyright Meteorological Service of New Zealand Ltd 2007
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And This
{WATCH Event 2007/1.282}
SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR NORTHLAND AUCKLAND WELLINGTON ISSUED BY METSERVICE AT 1100hrs 13-Nov-2007
POSSIBLE SEVERE GALES ON WEDNESDAY
MetService is expecting a depression to develop east of central New Zealand tonight (Tuesday). During Wednesday morning, a very strong south to southwest flow should spread over the North Island. Gales are expected to develop in many parts of Northland, Auckland, and Wellington. It is possible that severe gale gusts of 120 km/h could occur between the early hours of Wednesday, through to mid afternoon Wednesday.
People in these areas should take precautions against possible severe gusts, particularly in those areas where such conditions are less common. They should also keep up with latest forecasts, and look out for any upgrade of this watch to a full warning.
This Watch will be reviewed by 9pm Tuesday 13th Nov Forecast prepared by: Mark Pascoe
(C) Copyright Meteorological Service of New Zealand Ltd 2007


{ROADSNOW Event 2007/1.205}
Issued by MetService at 10:58am Tuesday 13th November 2007 Valid until 9:00pm Tuesday 13th November
ARTHURS PASS
Snow is likely to lower onto Arthurs Pass this evening. Between 9pm Tuesday and 9am Wednesday, up to 5 to 10cm could accumulate at the top of the Pass, mainly on the eastern side. Lighter accumulations are expected down to 600 metres.
LINDIS PASS
Some light snow showers are expected on the Pass overnight. Between 6pm Tuesday and 3am Wednesday, 1 or 2 cm could accumulate at the top of the Pass, with a dusting down to 700 metres.
PORTERS PASS
Snow is expected to lower onto Porters Pass this evening. Between 9pm Tuesday and 9am Wednesday, 10 to 15cm is expected to accumulate at the top of the Pass, with lighter accumulations down to 600 metres.
MILFORD ROAD
A few snow showers are likely on higher parts of the road from late afternoon Tuesday to the early hours of Wednesday. However, only a dusting is expected to accumulate.
(C) Copyright Meteorological Service of New Zealand Ltd 2007
__________________________________________________________________
And This

{WATCH Event 2007/1.282}
SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR NORTHLAND AUCKLAND WELLINGTON ISSUED BY METSERVICE AT 1100hrs 13-Nov-2007
POSSIBLE SEVERE GALES ON WEDNESDAY
MetService is expecting a depression to develop east of central New Zealand tonight (Tuesday). During Wednesday morning, a very strong south to southwest flow should spread over the North Island. Gales are expected to develop in many parts of Northland, Auckland, and Wellington. It is possible that severe gale gusts of 120 km/h could occur between the early hours of Wednesday, through to mid afternoon Wednesday.
People in these areas should take precautions against possible severe gusts, particularly in those areas where such conditions are less common. They should also keep up with latest forecasts, and look out for any upgrade of this watch to a full warning.
This Watch will be reviewed by 9pm Tuesday 13th Nov Forecast prepared by: Mark Pascoe
(C) Copyright Meteorological Service of New Zealand Ltd 2007

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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
Spoke briefly to a cocky last night who lives up Anaroa road. he said that he was going to repair fences again that have been washed out. 30 mm fell in less than a 30 minute period. The same person mentioned the large amount of hail on the ground.Weather Watcher wrote:Achten, do you have any further details about the 30mm on Sunday, like where it was and over what period the 30mm fell? Thanks.Achten wrote:Yesterdays Ts passed nearly overhead, 14mm here just SE, 30mm.
Friends in Onga Onga had hail yesterday Arvo. In both cases Hail was less than 10mm
Its at times like these I can't wait for the new radar coverage.
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Re: Unstable from 8th Nov
Thanks for that Achten. The new radar is probably about 18 months away, and I think we are all looking forward to it!