'Cyclone alert in Fiji' - Stuff
Last updated 17:43 26/11/2010
Fiji has declared a national cyclone alert, the first of the season. The Fiji Meteorological Centre in Nadi said the unnamed depression was 1150 kilometres north west of Nadi. It said it was expected to intensify further and become a tropical cyclone in the next 36 to 48 hours. "One this track, and if the depression continues to intensify, it may bring damaging gale force winds over the western parts of Fiji by later Sunday." ...
Code: Select all
Special Weather Bulletin Number TWO for Fiji ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION
01F.
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI at 4:57pm on Friday the 26th of November 2010
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALERT IS NOW IN FORCE FOR FIJI.
A STRONG WIND WARNING IS NOW IN FORCE FOR FIJI.
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION 01F CENTRE 1003 HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 16 DECIMAL
1 SOUTH 170 DECIMAL 3 EAST OR ABOUT 1050 KM WEST-NORTHWEST OF NADI AT
3 PM TODAY. POSITION POOR. THE DEPRESSION IS CURRENTLY MOVING
EAST-SOUTHEAST AT 15 KM/HR. IT IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY FURTHER AND
POSSIBLY BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 36 TO 42 HOURS.
ON THIS TRACK, IF THE DEPRESSION CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY, IT MAY BRING
DAMAGING GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE WESTERN PARTS OF FIJI BY LATER
SUNDAY.
FOR THE WESTERN PARTS OF FIJI
MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS GRADUALLY TURNING NORTHERLY AND BECOMING
STRONG 45 KM/HR TO 55 KM/HR WITH GUSTS TO 70 KM/HR FROM SUNDAY.
WINDS MAY INCREASE FURTHER TO DAMAGING GALE FORCE FROM LATER SUNDAY.
RAIN GRADUALLY BECOMING FREQUENT AND HEAVY WITH SQUALLY
THUNDERSTORMS. FLOODING INCLUDING SEA FLOODING OF LOW LYING COASTAL
AREAS EXPECTED FROM LATE SATURDAY.
FOR THE REST OF FIJI:
MODERATE EASTERLY WINDS GRADUALLY TURNING NORTHERLY AND BECOMING
STRONG FROM LATER SUNDAY. FLASH FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS. RAIN
GRADUALLY BECOMING FREQUENT AND HEAVY WITH SQUALLY THUNDERSTORMS.
The following information is provided especially for the mariners:
SOUTHEAST WINDS 25 TO 30 KNOTS WITH GUST TO 40 KNOTS TURNING
NORTHERLY FROM LATER SATURDAY FOR SOUTHWEST VITILEVU, KADAVU PASSAGE,
SOUTHERN KORO SEA AND SOUTHERN LAU WATERS. WINDS MAY INCREASE FURTHER
TO DAMAGING GALE FORCE FROM LATER SUNDAY. VERY ROUGH SEAS WITH HEAVY
NORTHWESTERLY SWELLS.
ELSEWHERE, EASTERLY WINDS INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS WITH GUST TO
40 KNOTS AND TURNING NORTHERLY FROM SUNDAY. SEAS BECOMING ROUGH TO
VERY ROUGH WITH HEAVY NORTHWEST SWELLS.
THE NEXT SPECIAL WEATHER BULLETIN FOR FIJI ON TROPICAL DEPPRESSION
01F WILL BE ISSUED AT 12 PM TONIGHT OR EARLIER.
Code: Select all
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Nov 26/0802 UTC 2010 UTC.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TD01F [1003HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 16.0S 170.8E AT
260600 UTC SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR IMAGERY WITH
ANIMATION AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 29 DEGREE CELSIUS.
ORGANISATION HAS NOT IMPROVED IN THE LAST 12 HOURS. CONVECTION WAS
RESTRICTED ON THE EASTERN FLANK OF THE SYSTEM BUT HAS NOT INCREASED
IN THE PAST 12 HOURS. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS FROM SURFACE TO 500
HPA. SYSTEM LIES TO THE EAST OF AN UPPER TROUGH AND ALONG A SURFACE
TROUGH IN A MODERATELY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.
MOST GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED THE SYSTEM AND MOVING IT
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARDS OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS WITH SOME
INTENSIFICATION.
POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE
NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS MODERATE TO HIGH.
NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCES ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN
THE AREA.
