heavy rain and severe gales 3-4th April NZ

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Sun 06/03/2005 15:58

Moderate NE here Sultry 26c with sunshine

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Sun 06/03/2005 17:37

80kmh+ winds here over the last hour or so easing back a little and dark clouds looming to the west even some are towering but are being capped off by the upper strong winds.
Radar at 4pm shows some heavy rain coming which I have attached below.
Cheers
JASON TIPPET.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Sun 06/03/2005 18:16

Dose not look to be much in the way of Thunderstorms with that Front and no Tornadoes I'm sure.

Satellite dose show a crop of Cb clouds behind the Front which may produce some overnight TS on the West Coast.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sun 06/03/2005 19:06

Dose not look to be much in the way of Thunderstorms with that Front

I can't see the front being upto much over the north tomorrow.

Michael wrote

Moderate NE here Sultry 26c with sunshine

Typical Auckland weather.

Manukau heads obs · Sun 06/03/2005 19:56

the coral sea TC that is developing could be worth keeping on eye on upper NIers

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Sun 06/03/2005 20:26

I think thurs Afternoon or Evening could be interesting in Canterbury if the cold change comes through at the right time ie pm before dark.

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Sun 06/03/2005 20:48

The gales must be over for Canterbury. Some brief spits of rain this evening, but the wind is only fresh at times now. (out on the peninsula)

Manukau heads obs · Sun 06/03/2005 21:20

was just talking to a person in alex
some good rain there today, which surprised the locals

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Sun 06/03/2005 22:00

spwill wrote:I think thurs Afternoon or Evening could be interesting in Canterbury if the cold change comes through at the right time ie pm before dark.

I still have a 3 out for that day

JohnGaul
NZTS

Thunder · Unread post by **Thunder** » Sun 06/03/2005 22:42

Well, I'm wrong...tried to make a punt and got it wrong.

Despite that juicy shear plus front and the mountains we really need that good cold upper air, nice job Tony!

This Thursday eh? Will have a look!

Cheers
Aaron Wilkinson

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Mon 07/03/2005 17:26

Some very welcome rain here this morning lasted until about 8:30am and then another shower came through at 10am.

Rain was Moderate very close to heavy here at one stage when I was having breakfast this morning but I have recorded 8.2mm with the rain this morning.
Farmers will be happy it's not much but there's still more rain to come this week with rain and showers tomorrow I see MS have it out for TS posssable duee to convergence in South Canty hmm hopefully that willl drag up over CHCH

if not it will atleast have some heavy rain in it thats if a TS develops with the change.
But yeah Thursday does look better for TS actually I have some pics I took last nigh of some bubbly shower clouds to the SW.
Believe it or not thay looked very Tornadoic

at times especially at about 9pm when the sun was going down with the red under it.
Cheers
JASON TIPPET.

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Mon 07/03/2005 18:29

Some very welcome rain here this morning lasted until about 8:30am and then another shower came through at 10am.
Rain was Moderate very close to heavy here at one stage when I was having breakfast this morning but I have recorded 8.2mm with the rain this morning.

Showers lingered until about 2.30PM out on the peninsula (heavy just before dawn), but only brief ones from late morning.

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Mon 07/03/2005 18:40

No Thunder tomorrow, southerly is going to have little impact.

Thursday looks better

but I think further south looks better than chch for thunderstorms. becauser of the colder air,

Just checked fencrpost.co.nz. maybe I have read the maps wrong, Lets hope I have

Fine at first on Thursday but a blustery cold southwesterly change developing during the afternoon with hail and thunder, and snow to 900m on Banks Peninsula on Thursday night. Southwesterlies may be gale force on the Peninsula, strong elsewhere.

TonyT · Unread post by **TonyT** » Mon 07/03/2005 20:52

I thought that might get you excited!

GraemeWi · Unread post by **GraemeWi** » Mon 07/03/2005 21:48

Damn! So it's not a good week to start my road trip around the South Island with my tent and sleeping bag then?

Suspect I'll be staying in a few motels then!

Cheers,

G

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Mon 07/03/2005 22:11

TonyT wrote:I thought that might get you excited!

Don't spoil him, Tony

JohnGaul
NZTS

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Mon 07/03/2005 22:14

GraemeWi wrote:Damn! So it's not a good week to start my road trip around the South Island with my tent and sleeping bag then?

Suspect I'll be staying in a few motels then!

Cheers,

G

Should be OK Graeme, from the WE with that lovely high moving over us

JohnGaul
NZAAA

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Mon 07/03/2005 22:32

03 Stormchaser wrote:No Thunder tomorrow, southerly is going to have little impact.

I tend to agree but I have just checked the lastest satpix from MetS and I may have to give a 1 for tomorrow

JohnGaul
NZTS

Gary Roberts · Unread post by **Gary Roberts** » Tue 08/03/2005 10:30

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:Should be OK Graeme, from the WE with that lovely high moving over us

JohnGaul
NZAAA

Yesterday was a beautiful, sunny day, and the night was clear. This morning started out well, but the day has turned to (grey) custard.

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Tue 08/03/2005 17:24

Intersting day so farr I can see some quite nice shafts to the W-SW of me so could be some heavy showers on the way

not Quite SW yet though.
Nice skies this morning just before 7am if you were up you will know what I mean check this pic I took of bubbly clouds to the NE.
Cheers
JASON TIPPET.

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Tue 08/03/2005 20:28

sunset tonight

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Tue 08/03/2005 23:02

....by the way, Thursday is now reduced to a 2 as it could be like today's fizzer southerly.
Sadly anticyclonic conditions look likely to roll in next week. This always happens when there is cyclonic activity in latitudes north of NZ/Australia.
This season they seem to be quite severe.
I noticed the latest SOI had a huge swing to the negative?
Must of been a fault? Didn't look right to me

JohnGaul
NZTS

RWood · Unread post by **RWood** » Tue 08/03/2005 23:12

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:....by the way, Thursday is now reduced to a 2 as it could be like today's fizzer southerly.
Sadly anticyclonic conditions look likely to roll in next week. This always happens when there is cyclonic activity in latitudes north of NZ/Australia.
This season they seem to be quite severe.
I noticed the latest SOI had a huge swing to the negative?
Must of been a fault? Didn't look right to me

JohnGaul
NZTS

I understand SOI is correct, but not expected to stay that negative for long (NIWA)

Roll on (in) the anticyclones!

For Tich: I don't think TC crossing of the Q'land coast is all that uncommon.

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Wed 09/03/2005 08:01

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: as it could be like today's fizzer southerly.
JohnGaul
NZTS

Yesterdays one always looked like a fizzer, I now think the southerly on Thursday will come thru to late for thunderstorms, but cold southeries and snow down to 1000m will still be on the cards

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Mon 28/03/2005 11:21

One of those horrid SW squalls coming in now with winds now strong with rain