Wintry weekend in the South.

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Fri 11/08/2006 14:08

It has changed since 11.30am this morning - for In,gill all snow icons are gone and now says 'sleety showers'.

For Christchurch on Monday - now saying 'Sleety showers, fresh very cold southerlies'

Snowlover · Unread post by **Snowlover** » Fri 11/08/2006 14:49

I guess we all have to wait and see what happens, because I don't think even metservice knows what is going to happen. They have changed the forecast many times now.

gllitz · Unread post by **gllitz** » Fri 11/08/2006 14:50

Models are now making this look like more of a 1-2 punch with a "sucker punch" front coming through tmrw and then the good stuff on SUN/MON (funny that, Mondays and snow are popular here on the S. Island)...And MS SWO still looks promising for "our cousins way down South" for sure (e.g. YOU guys, flutterbye, Fujita Phil, and Gary...where IS Gary these days???)

Looks like it will then spread up the east coast of both islands...Latest LAPS MSLP has the low going to 984 while off the East coast of the S. Island...

we shall see!
(I will personally start battening down tonight, just quietly........

)

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Fri 11/08/2006 14:51

Snowlover wrote:I guess we all have to wait and see what happens, because I don't think even metservice knows what is going to happen. They have changed the forecast many times now.

Yep

snowstar · Unread post by **snowstar** » Fri 11/08/2006 15:09

[quote="gllitz"]Models are now making this look like more of a 1-2 punch with a "sucker punch" front coming through tmrw and then the good stuff on SUN/MON (funny that, Mondays and snow are popular here on the S. Island

That's exactly what I've been thinking for a while now ~ always seems to be a Monday!

I agree with the other comment too ~ Metservice don't seem to know themselves what's going to happen. Can't be easy forecasting for NZ anyway, with the vast bodies of ocean on either side.

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Fri 11/08/2006 20:23

we will have to wait and see what happens

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Fri 11/08/2006 23:00

Might get a frost in a sheltered area?

JohnGaul
NZTS

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Fri 11/08/2006 23:12

Well dont park your car in the garage then John

.
Cheers
Jason.

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Fri 11/08/2006 23:15

Very good Jasestrm

janewaystv · Unread post by **janewaystv** » Sat 12/08/2006 06:05

Well there u go Flutterbye, always hear people moaning about Invercargill and its weather, it seems like this winter Invercargill has escaped unscathed whereas the rest of NZ have had plenty of bad weather especially Christchurch and Wellington

Janos · Unread post by **Janos** » Sat 12/08/2006 08:44

I would suggest that Dunedin has also had a spectacularly fine winter with little rain and lots of frost.

RWood · Unread post by **RWood** » Sat 12/08/2006 09:11

Yes - both the rainfall and sunshine figures for June and July support that - record high sun for June, both months dry.

Snowlover · Unread post by **Snowlover** » Sat 12/08/2006 09:57

Nothing but blue sky and a big yellow globe

Janos · Unread post by **Janos** » Sat 12/08/2006 10:22

Had a taste of a frontal change but as predicted now clearing and sun starting to break through. Its going to be a nice day.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Sat 12/08/2006 10:23

Dunedin has also had a spectacularly fine winter with little rain and lots of frost.

Same up here in Auckland but I find it hard to enjoy a fine day when it's freezing cold, roll on September.
Blossom + daffs are out.

Snowlover · Unread post by **Snowlover** » Sat 12/08/2006 10:45

Currently got a North east wind here in Christchurch warming up nicely currently on about 10.5 degrees

Fujita Phil · Unread post by **Fujita Phil** » Sat 12/08/2006 10:59

Janos wrote:Had a taste of a frontal change but as predicted now clearing and sun starting to break through. Its going to be a nice day.

Well you can put your shorts on but I think I'll stay under the heatpump just for now

. There's the smallest amount of white stuff at the top of Flagstaff and Mt Cargill, and I mean the smallest amount.

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Sat 12/08/2006 11:13

Its time for warmth now,horrid when the sun keeps going in and out of clouds

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sat 12/08/2006 11:18

it seems like this winter Invercargill has escaped unscathed

Invercargill, like Auckland, gets its worst (most interesting) winter weather from the unstable westerlies. But the westerlies have not been very active this winter.

The city in NZ that normaly experiences the most snow is Dunedin, but we have not seen a proper Antartic outbreak this winter so Dunedin has missed the snow so far.

Snowlover · Unread post by **Snowlover** » Sat 12/08/2006 11:41

Metservice has taken away sleety showers in Christchurch's forecast for Monday

I see Queenstown has snow showers forecast for 3 days in a row

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Sat 12/08/2006 11:52

Snowlover wrote:Metservice has taken away sleety showers in Christchurch's forecast for Monday I see Queenstown has snow showers forecast for 3 days in a row

While they have had some rain earlier it's looking fine on the webcam.

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Sat 12/08/2006 12:17

Must be spring in the Garden City, saw a Mother duck with 16 ducklings today!!

A nice 14C here atm, but looking at the sat, change isnt far away.

Snowlover · Unread post by **Snowlover** » Sat 12/08/2006 12:19

Yip sure feels like spring today

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Sat 12/08/2006 12:22

Blast looking abit fainter now still get a cold surge but flakes perhaps not

.
Once again in the paper this morning the weather said sleet to sea level with snow above 400m which of course is impossible. If we were going to get sleet the snow level technically would have to be 200m or slightly lower due to the freezing level.
Great start to the day though sunshine few weakish looking cumulus around kinda hinting something

and 14.1C.
And southerly just hitting now as I write look at that

.
Cheers
Jason.

Snowlover · Unread post by **Snowlover** » Sat 12/08/2006 12:22

Forecast for Christchurch today is sure wrong with a max of 9 degrees. It's currently hovering around 13 degrees