WOOHOO! - it even has an eye

C-Nimbus · Unread post by **C-Nimbus** » Mon 04/07/2005 10:07

The 9am sat image from metvuw just looks awesome. perfectly formed cold front poised to make its presence felt in the next coupla days...

did any one say weather bomb??

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Mon 04/07/2005 10:31

Looks great!
Here's a closer version, 10am

C-Nimbus · Unread post by **C-Nimbus** » Mon 04/07/2005 11:30

great image there foggy, with all that warm air being funnelled down from the tropics (it is quite mild today too) and mixing with the colder air should make it a real doozey.

I was down your way on the weekend foggy doing some music with freinds, and i must say there is something about the waikato at this time of year (I am an ex hamiltonian, was there from 1988 - 2001). Saturday was just outstanding and the air is so fresh and exhilarating. I remember trout fishing in the river of all places in June/July on those crisp and frosty anticyclonic mornings......beauty!!

Auckland does have an appeal to on days like that, but its just not in the same league as the Wakatoo!

Gary Roberts · Unread post by **Gary Roberts** » Mon 04/07/2005 11:48

Awesome pics. You guys must have amazing tripods...

I have to concede that snow definitely appears to be on the agenda down here. Maybe we'll see a winter afterall.

Update: snow much less likely now, as the cloud level has risen significantly.

It's now just a high, thin layer, which was sent over by those envious Aussies to prevent us viewing the comet impact tonight.

Aussies and those damn Aliens.

Manukau heads obs · Mon 04/07/2005 12:31

heavy rain warning issues from 2 nite for northland/coromandel
maybe though the low might have peaked too early, and will just become a weakening cut off low...
but its those cut off lows that can be quite dangerous, especilay as the fronts can be become slow moving

rain is showing on the rain radar to the west of northland , now

the cloud sheet with that front goes all the way to Queensland, so lots of cloud to keep coming down and activate and keep the whole thing fuelled

Severe Weather Watch

SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR AUCKLAND
ISSUED BY METSERVICE AT 1058hrs 04-Jul-2005

HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE ABOUT AUCKLAND LATER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY

MetService is keeping an eye on a frontal band in the Tasman Sea
which is expected to move onto the northern North Island on Tuesday.
A strong moist northeasterly flow precedes the front, and this should
bring bands of heavy rain onto the northern part of the North Island
on Tuesday, Wednesday and possibly Thursday.

In Auckland, rain is expected to develop today, then become more
persistent and heavier during Tuesday. Heavy rain may persist into
Wednesday. At this stage forecasters are unsure of the duration and
intensity of the heavy rain, however it is possible some parts of
Greater Auckland may recieve over 100mm of rain in a 24 to 36 hour
hour period from Tuesday afternoon through into Wednesday evening.
Some heavy rain may even continue into Thursday.

Gary Roberts · Unread post by **Gary Roberts** » Mon 04/07/2005 19:46

Clearing nicely now, so going to take a look at the comet.

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Mon 04/07/2005 19:54

Tell me if you can see it on the far side of the galaxy

We just have Cloud with Rain on and off here

Gary Roberts wrote:Clearing nicely now, so going to take a look at the comet.

Manukau heads obs · Tue 05/07/2005 06:15

6am rain radar shows a very defined leading edge to the rain band...just NW of auckland city
20mm at brynderwn, but only 8mm at whangerei (to 6am and 5am)

now 18mm at 7am, in whangerei

C-Nimbus · Unread post by **C-Nimbus** » Tue 05/07/2005 08:08

heres the 6am radar as brian mentioned.

it certainly looks to be packing a punch. I would have thought that t/s are a definate possibility today, and it also seems to have a very defined edge.

tracker is picking up strikes way up north.

also attached is 6am sat image showing the devlopement (or possibly decay) of the low centre

C-Nimbus · Unread post by **C-Nimbus** » Tue 05/07/2005 08:09

....and radar

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Tue 05/07/2005 08:24

Yes, active rain cloud just north of Auckland but only a little light rain here so far.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Tue 05/07/2005 10:39

May just end up with decaying rain cloud over Auckland City with the heavy stuff just to the north.

Dew Points in Ak of 12C are on the low side for a good NorthEasterly even in winter.

Gary Roberts · Unread post by **Gary Roberts** » Tue 05/07/2005 10:56

Bah! Somebody put the lid back on.

Manukau heads obs · Tue 05/07/2005 12:15

50mm at brynderwyn now
22mm at whangerie
nothing here yet, just been a few showers...
(1 mm recorded)

update
latest sat image shows lots of embeded cbs lines to move down from the north...
and the low has drifted a bit west too

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Tue 05/07/2005 12:32

With the intense high just east of the North Island it looked like this front wasn't going to get very far onto the North Island. Northland is about where I expected it to be. Should start weakening now.

Tonights rugby at Eden Park should be mainly dry but with a blustery easterly.

Manukau heads obs · Tue 05/07/2005 12:48

you could br right ...
will watch for a cancellation of rain warnings for auckland and coromendal,

(and then it will rain)

Manukau heads obs · Tue 05/07/2005 15:50

been some patches of blue sky here this avo...
any rain or cloud systems around now look disorganised and weak now...
looks like the high is winning...
but need to watch out for a wave down the front...

edit
i dont think we shoudl brush it off just yet though, this rain band....will be prudent for people to keep an eye out..
update: there is now a larger area of rain slowly moving south, that the auckland area is line to get...on the latest rain radar....sometime in the very early hours of the morning

tgsnoopy · Unread post by **tgsnoopy** » Tue 05/07/2005 20:36

Manukau heads observer wrote:i dont think we shoudl brush it off just yet though, this rain band....will be prudent for people to keep an eye out..
update: there is now a larger area of rain slowly moving south, that the auckland area is line to get...on the latest rain radar....sometime in the very early hours of the morning

Oh great, just what I wanted to hear... Not

Manukau heads obs · Tue 05/07/2005 20:51

becuase the pressure gradient is weakening, the fontal rain bands are now slower moving...so once the latest surge moves on shore, it could hang around longer,,,that will accumulate the rain.....but maybe not as far east as turanga?

tgsnoopy · Unread post by **tgsnoopy** » Tue 05/07/2005 20:58

Actually, fingers crossed, it would take a more serious event than we experienced in late May to flood us now. I've seriously reduced waters ability to pool by cutting the neighbours retaining wall off at ground level. Fingers crossed it will be successful. It doesn't stop me feeling for our other neighbours though.

Manukau heads obs · Tue 05/07/2005 21:17

i see a new update to the weather warning now
they must have read my post, basicly what i said, LOL

Manukau heads obs · Wed 06/07/2005 07:49

rain here now
and it looks like it set in for a while too
been another good dollop overnight up north:
http://www.hansenproducts.co.nz/weather/whangarei.htm
http://ps.gen.nz/~richkids/brynderwyn.htm

Brynderwyn have had 87mm now

more heavy rain bands to move down according to the sat image

Manukau heads obs · Wed 06/07/2005 08:07

flooding in bryderwyn now, just had a phone call from my sister
119mm for the month now
55mm since 3am there

so good thing they kept the heavy rain warnings in place

C-Nimbus · Unread post by **C-Nimbus** » Wed 06/07/2005 08:18

This certainly doesn't surprise me brian, i think we could all see this coming from some time last week! and its like you said in an earlier post, this type of low is so unpredictable

I see on the 6am radar the thick blue area that the Brynderwyns are under, looks very messy and i can expect to hear reports of road slips and possible closures today (I work in civil, so I get to hear these things).

I just hope that we dont see another repeat of the TGA floods up north with this one, could get real messy

C-Nimbus · Unread post by **C-Nimbus** » Wed 06/07/2005 08:19

Oh and in the words of that guy from Open all hours....

its bu bu bu bu bur bucketing down gra gra granville......

...here in newmarket, and I see we're on the edge of it..

no lightning tho on the tracker