Lovely Week Ahead?

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Sun 16/05/2004 18:40

Looks like a lovely week ahead weather-wize?
Just as interesting as playing golf??

JohnGaul
NZTS

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Sun 16/05/2004 19:44

Sure is a SE flow fine weather here

Dont know about down there alternating from ENE to S

John you may have to look at your weather records to reminice (sp) like 10 April 1968 or March 1988 or September 27th 2002 or even this February

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Mon 17/05/2004 11:04

Fine clear day in Auckland with visibility so good I can see CB cloud tops far out to the East, over 100 km away.

GraemeWi · Unread post by **GraemeWi** » Mon 17/05/2004 17:43

spwill wrote:Fine clear day in Auckland with visibility so good I can see CB cloud tops far out to the East, over 100 km away.

Also out to the west of Auckland around sunset tonight - not big enough to show on the satelite picture though.

Cheers,

G

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Mon 17/05/2004 19:14

I noticed the two cb tops to NW around 5.30pm also. 1800hr radar puts them over 100km away. They just show up on the 1800hr IR imagery.

Unstable air will be knocking on the door of the far north this week with some heavy thundery falls possible over Northland/Coromandal ranges later in week. Showers may get into Auckland as well.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Mon 17/05/2004 21:38

There is an area of showers and Thunderstorms in the Central Tasman Sea at the moment moving slowly East-North East.
Auckland Radar shows a line of developing showers East of Northland moving west.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Mon 17/05/2004 21:51

Still cloudy down here.

Haven't seen the sun properly for about 2 weeks

JohnGaul
NZTS

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Mon 17/05/2004 22:17

Still cloudy down here.
Haven't seen the sun properly for about 2 weeks

Actually it's only been dull for about a week now. Last week was often drizzly and rainy, a big contrast to the warm, sunny weather of the previous week (bar the unusual northwesterly 'rainstorm' of the 5th). This week looks like something halfway between the previous 2 - often cloudy, but dry, with the ever present northeasterly.

One thing for sure is that it looks like the mild spell earlier in the month is well and truly over. In fact the next major change could be a cold southerly outbreak this coming Saturday. MetService has warned about this in today's severe weather outlook, though some models don't agree that such a change is likely. Anyway Saturday is still quite a long time in the future as far as forecasting goes.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Tue 18/05/2004 07:15

25mm in the Bay of Islands overnight, they are getting a bit of precip up there.

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Tue 18/05/2004 17:57

The sun shone here most of the day today and lets hope that high in the north tasman and low don't move southwards together to give us those yucky winds

Andy · Unread post by **Andy** » Tue 18/05/2004 18:02

Doomy gloomy day here with no sun and a max of 5.7 degrees

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Tue 18/05/2004 18:44

Yes another cloudy day here in ChCh with some drizzle this morning (I got 0.6mm) but the sun did very hard to try to make it's appearance

More cloud tomorrow

JohnGaul
NZTS

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Tue 18/05/2004 21:58

Yes another cloudy day here in ChCh with some drizzle this morning (I got 0.6mm) but the sun did very hard to try to make it's appearance
More cloud tomorrow

The light showers that periodically sprinkled Chch today weren't (initially) forecast by MetService, though they were probably the southernmost of the showers currently plaguing eastern areas. (I heard that Akaroa didn't get any today) The last shower was about an hour ago and there's still plenty of cloud about, so it's probably not over just yet.

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Wed 19/05/2004 18:25

The maps shows it will change up here in the weekend with gales for us (rain in most other places) and a similar pattern into next week as now

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Wed 19/05/2004 18:37

Michael wrote:The maps shows it will change up here in the weekend with gales for us (rain in most other places) and a similar pattern into next week as now

It looks a bit like it!

JohnGaul
NZTS

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Wed 19/05/2004 18:51

Much better day in Chch today - the airflow must've tilted a bit more to the north, bring only scattered cloud and the most sunshine we've had for more than a week. Such small changes in wind direction can make a big difference to the weather here, with less of an onshore component to the flow.

Gary Roberts · Unread post by **Gary Roberts** » Wed 19/05/2004 22:12

tich wrote:Much better day in Chch today - the airflow must've tilted a bit more to the north, bring only scattered cloud and the most sunshine we've had for more than a week. Such small changes in wind direction can make a big difference to the weather here, with less of an onshore component to the flow.

We've been existing within a soup of low cloud down here, although it did clear briefly this afternoon. Not too cold though, showing 3.4 right now.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Thu 20/05/2004 08:05

Another fine morning in AK.

But once again the rain is getting into the far North. Spherics on the am band this morning, looks unstable from the top of Northland out into the North Tasman sea.

Midnight sounding has the 500hpa temp remaining below -20 which is a good sign of an unstable atmos for northern NZ.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Thu 20/05/2004 14:51

There have been Thundery showers just North of Northland today.
A mostly sunny day in Auckland, light winds and currently 18c from a chilly, damp overnight low of 10c.

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Thu 20/05/2004 16:03

Yes it has been a good day with considerable high cloud

Doesnt look good tomorrow with a SW airstream arriving tomorrow bringing gales.At least its been a good week as long as the SW dont go on

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Thu 20/05/2004 17:31

The ridge this week has done a very good job at holding back the showers over northern NZ. Looks like saturday will be the wet day with unstable conditions.

tomorrow with a SW airstream arriving tomorrow bringing gales

Shouldn't get a southwester as the low will pass over us Saturday with a clearing southerly hard on its heals. Another extended period of fine weather on the way for next week.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Thu 20/05/2004 22:20

NZstorm wrote: Another extended period of fine weather on the way for next week.

Unfortuanately, I agree

JohnGaul
NZTS

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Fri 21/05/2004 18:33

Convective cloud out to the west of Auckland this evening about 5.30pm.
These cb tops are about 200km distant according to satellite pics.
It was a clear day in Ak with 18C.

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Fri 21/05/2004 18:39

It looks like the stuff from the south westerlies that have been well to the north of us this week,There have been SW as far north as New Caledonia and almost to Fiji

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sat 22/05/2004 10:05

A fine morning in AK with no wind. Upper air unstable so showers likely today.

cb tops through west and northwest this morning. Photo 9.30am.
These cb's which are over 100km away are heading for Northland.