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Re: Unsettled Week, Tasman Lows, 1-7th October

Posted: Thu 06/10/2011 08:59
by jamie
kool.... check it out!!!!
Maybe a chase?

http://www.metservice.com/national/warn ... rm-outlook

Re: Unsettled Week, Tasman Lows, 1-7th October

Posted: Thu 06/10/2011 09:02
by Richard
Wow 8-o ,up to 40mm hour !!! not bad :D

Re: Unsettled Week, Tasman Lows, 1-7th October

Posted: Thu 06/10/2011 10:19
by Tornado Tim
Richard wrote:Wow 8-o ,up to 40mm hour !!! not bad :D
I am not sure what to make of those rain intensities they issue.
Any estimation they stick up on there is usually well below the actual intensity of precip falling.

The typical Thunderstorm will have precip intensities that quite often breach 100mm/hr in the core of the storm.
Unless they are talking about potential accumulation intensities then that would make sense.

Re: Unsettled Week, Tasman Lows, 1-7th October

Posted: Thu 06/10/2011 12:20
by NZstorm
Nice sunny day in Auckland 18C.

GFS is showing about 400j/kg CAPE and some convergence over inland Waikato this afternoon so maybe a late afternoon thundery shower there but nothing too significant in my opinion.

Re: Unsettled Week, Tasman Lows, 1-7th October

Posted: Thu 06/10/2011 12:22
by Manukau heads obs
does not look to be much going to happen here
sea breeze looks like its going to come in here soon

Re: Unsettled Week, Tasman Lows, 1-7th October

Posted: Thu 06/10/2011 13:24
by Michael
Looks as something over northland to about Whangarei or abouts.

Re: Unsettled Week, Tasman Lows, 1-7th October

Posted: Thu 06/10/2011 17:04
by spwill
Mainly fine, max 19C.
There is shallow seabreeze convergece across parts of Auckland currently with perhaps a shower for some places.

Re: Unsettled Week, Tasman Lows, 1-7th October

Posted: Thu 06/10/2011 18:18
by David
torrential downpour here

Re: Unsettled Week, Tasman Lows, 1-7th October

Posted: Thu 06/10/2011 18:28
by David
It was brief, 3.6mm rain total

Re: Unsettled Week, Tasman Lows, 1-7th October

Posted: Thu 06/10/2011 18:59
by spwill
Dry here.
Photo showing convergence line near here.

Re: Unsettled Week, Tasman Lows, 1-7th October

Posted: Thu 06/10/2011 19:00
by NZstorm
I could see a glaciated top over your way David, a weakish cb. A few thundery showers over the central NI as well I notice.

Re: Unsettled Week, Tasman Lows, 1-7th October

Posted: Thu 06/10/2011 20:58
by Manukau heads obs
the CB over the Hunua ranges looked good from Waiuku when I was in town around 5pm
real summers day time weather