General October Weather

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Mon 30/09/2013 23:22

Another windy month likely? Starts of here sunny tomorrow but looks like an inversion with light WSW wed/thurs before another trough and southwesterlies,looks far better further south and in all the east.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Mon 30/09/2013 23:56

Fading southwesterlies, there is a Tasman low later in the week so flow will tend more NW into the week, disturbed W/NW next week at this stage, a mostly mild outlook.

melja · Unread post by **melja** » Tue 01/10/2013 12:27

Warm down south today with most over 20 deg, forecast high for Chch is down to 17 deg from 22 deg this morning-Cool NE and high cloud was going to make it hard for 22 today without a NWer.

snowstormwatcher · Unread post by **snowstormwatcher** » Tue 01/10/2013 18:11

22 degrees here today even with thick high cloud most of the day.

melja · Unread post by **melja** » Tue 01/10/2013 18:55

Yeah but I bet you had no cool NE wind all day.
Did see Timaru at 24C at one point too, I hope we get our turn tomorrow after the 16C today here in Rangiora.

Dean. · Unread post by **Dean.** » Tue 01/10/2013 19:14

24 max here today very warm

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Wed 02/10/2013 07:05

A nice crop of elevated storms near Fiordland this morning. Warm continental air moving into the Tasman from Aussie is what leads to elevated storms over the SW of the country. Sydneys max yesterday 34C.

Looks like summery weather for the North Island next few days. Temps should break 20C in many places.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Wed 02/10/2013 08:44

850mb temps over NZ today. Looks more like summer!

snowstormwatcher · Unread post by **snowstormwatcher** » Wed 02/10/2013 18:11

Gusty southerly change though here now 60-65km gusts, 21 degrees before the change.

Tornado Tim · Unread post by **Tornado Tim** » Wed 02/10/2013 22:43

I see some interesting development going on in the GFS in the last few runs, Winter may not have fully left yet.....

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Thu 03/10/2013 07:11

Midnight NZWP showing the warm dry airmass aloft and the cool moist air at the surface.

Low clouds here should burn back during the morning.

Manukau heads obs · Thu 03/10/2013 12:16

reports of alot of snow melting at ruapehu yesterday...skiers had to come home early...rivers of water..

David · Unread post by **David** » Thu 03/10/2013 18:35

NZstorm wrote:Midnight NZWP showing the warm dry airmass aloft and the cool moist air at the surface.

Low clouds here should burn back during the morning.

Pity about the cooler air closer to the surface... could have been 22/23C otherwise?
But still, a beautiful day with a 19C max here.

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Thu 03/10/2013 19:13

Just watched a brilliant sundog for five minutes. Was the best I've ever seen.

CWUweather · Unread post by **CWUweather** » Thu 03/10/2013 23:25

Yes looks cold for the middle of next week, see what develops. winter on the return?

einzack · Unread post by **einzack** » Fri 04/10/2013 06:39

was suprised to hear on the news last night that Westport had 82mm of rain yesterday, whereas we had 6mm. Sure, we're 70km inland from Westport, but the difference surprised me. But then I checked metservice website and it shows that yes Westport town had 82mm, but Westport airport had 39mm. That's a huge variance considering the airport is approx 3km from Westport town as the crow flies.
In saying that I don't know where the Westport town station is. maybe it's not in town as such and up the hills a bit, but that seems unlikely.

melja · Unread post by **melja** » Fri 04/10/2013 07:02

I think the rain was coming though in small but intense showers so could be isolated, my folks live at kumara junction and had the same thing with little there but down the road got drowned.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Fri 04/10/2013 07:34

Fog in Auckland. May get more cloud cover today after a couple of clear days.

The afternoon shower risk over the ranges Saturday afternoon could be worth a mention. Looks like from central North Island ranges to Malborough/north Canterbury ranges isolated cb's may pop up. A low thunder risk.

Nev · Unread post by **Nev** » Fri 04/10/2013 10:24

einzack wrote:was suprised to hear on the news last night that Westport had 82mm of rain yesterday, whereas we had 6mm. Sure, we're 70km inland from Westport, but the difference surprised me. But then I checked metservice website and it shows that yes Westport town had 82mm, but Westport airport had 39mm. That's a huge variance considering the airport is approx 3km from Westport town as the crow flies.
In saying that I don't know where the Westport town station is. maybe it's not in town as such and up the hills a bit, but that seems unlikely.

Yes, going by their 'Historical data', it appears MS's Westport site generally does get considerably more rainfall than its Westport Airport site. The airport (2m asl) is very coastal, virtually strutting out to sea. This Westport News WS (18m asl), presumably in the western central township and about 2 km SSE of the airport site, recorded 52mm yesterday. While near the foothills and about 7km ESE of the airport, this Keoghan Farm WS (29m asl) recorded 75mm. So I'm guessing MS's Westport site may be a little further out of town.

moylanr · Unread post by **moylanr** » Fri 04/10/2013 14:10

Hope there's lots less rain on the coast next week. I expect to hire a Jucy campervan & take the boys over Arthurs Pass tomorrow. In true Jucy style, no accomodation is booked, but the planner in me is thinking about Punakaiki/Lake Rochfort/Denniston or Stockton/Lyell/Reefton/Marble Point.

I have a coat for Monday...and your forecasts confirm by expectation to be home by Wed night.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Fri 04/10/2013 18:54

moylanr wrote: I expect to hire a Jucy campervan :

I rented a Jucy vehicle earlier in the year and it broke down. AA road recovery were excellent however I found Jucy customer service to be poor in this situation.
Weather looks mixed for NZ next week , have a great trip.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sat 05/10/2013 08:46

Models are finally lining up on the next system with low pressure development occurring out to west of North Island Monday.

Looks like cold rain/snow to about 700m for South Island Monday into Tuesday. Possible thunder for the North Island Tuesday.

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Sat 05/10/2013 14:19

Stunning day here. Temp beyond 20. Blue sky. Light to no wind. Humid. Nothing like the weather we had last October.

Tornado Tim · Unread post by **Tornado Tim** » Sat 05/10/2013 16:09

Yes some very nice temperatures across the North Island today, stark contrast to Christchurch at 13*C!

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Sat 05/10/2013 17:24

Tornado Tim wrote:Yes some very nice temperatures across the North Island today, stark contrast to Christchurch at 13*C!

In yet 100kms north been very nice day with a high of 25deg,NW wind sprung up about 2.00pm

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