NZ Weather Forum

Well, it should be a nice day to start off November's weather.
I wonder what sort of weather El Niña>? will bring us this month as it's been not very interesting, so far

Yeah and bugger all NW , still not very El Nino here.

Models have really ramped up the moisture levels for Canterbury tomorrow and early Wednesday, should be a decent warm advective event by the looks of it. Latest from Metservice:
CANTERBURY: Snow is likely above 400 metres from mid-afternoon Tuesday until late Wednesday morning. During this time, 10 to 15cm of snow may accumulate above 600 metres. There is a chance that the snow level could drop as low as 200 metres about the inland Canterbury Plains early Wednesday morning.

Hopefully its rain, not snow for the farmers

Good precip for the whole country at least.

Looks like a low thunder risk for the upper North Island with the overnight front. Also a low risk over Taupo/BOP tomorrow afternoon if there can be any surface heating.

Australia getting all the CAPE as usual and there was a tornado in Victoria on Sunday.

Southerly hit with some grunt this afternoon after what was a pleasant day of about 23C. Models have backed off the total moisture some what

Could be a chance of a chase on sunday in Canterbury aswell

TV one said Hokatika had 69mm of rain today when I count only about 17mm on met service so poor reporting giving false impression of a horrible wet day.

Unless Metservice took the Hokitika Gorge rainfall figure mid afternoon from the Regional Council website currently sitting on 103.6mm for 24 hours, I don't where the 69mm figure came from , Certainly not Hokitika airport .I had only 7.6mm at Runanga by 5pm tonight out of the front mostly heavy drizzle and light rain

Another fizzer on.the rain front. Would have been nice to have had some decent falls today

Just 1.6mm here in Rangiora.

Picked up 4.5mm here

A very welcome 11mm in Howick this morning, mainly 7am-9.30am. Looking colder tonight!

Looking potentially dry next 10 days for Auckland.

Coolish 17C today but warmer temps are inbound. November can give a good temperature lift.

03Stormchaser wrote:Could be a chance of a chase on sunday in Canterbury aswell

Think I got ahead with myself with this one. Suffering from bad case of chasing withdrawals

Yeah, I saw the GFS change its mind not long after you posted haha

Tell me about it, clutching at straws with every model run these days

03Stormchaser wrote:Tell me about it, clutching at straws with every model run these days

Might have to take up Morris dancing instead Steve

I'm getting desperate, who knows what I might do in this state haha

If it keeps going the way it is with no storms and little rain, we might be joining the drizzle appreciation club .
A total of about 14mm in 8 days all of which im sure will be gone in a week, the pattern is abit stuck at the moment very ridged with slow moving fronts.
El Nino is unpredictable though, December January could be very unstable months

Ripper of a day today! First BBQ get together tonight and then off to a fireworks display so very happy.

Stunner of a day here, looks like 23 on the cards this afternoon

Stunner day here too, got to 27.8deg

23.9C in Grey Lynn. A warm day for early November.

Looking like dps 17C for Auckland tomorrow but only good for drizzle given warm upper air.

As for the trough over the South Island today, upper levels too warm, pointing to minimal lightning risk. Perhaps an isolated storm over south to mid Canterbury later in the day but risk looks low.