NZ Weather Forum

The next system at the weekend has severe wind potential for the North Island. Looking interesting on 12z gfs.

Looking at the charts for Saturday I'm picking the Hurricane's vs Sharks game on Saturday night in Wellington to be one of the windiest matches ever played, some crazy numbers for the bottom of the north island being thrown up for wind gusts!!

Bradley wrote:Looking at the charts for Saturday I'm picking the Hurricane's vs Sharks game on Saturday night in Wellington to be one of the windiest matches ever played, some crazy numbers for the bottom of the north island being thrown up for wind gusts!!

Looking like an active cold front will cross the North island Saturday evening into Sunday morn with some big wind gusts. There is a chance of a severe convective risk with the front but instability is far from certain atm. Good moisture but may be a tad too warm at 500mb. Have to see how models pan out.

Bradley wrote:Looking at the charts for Saturday I'm picking the Hurricane's vs Sharks game on Saturday night in Wellington to be one of the windiest matches ever played, some crazy numbers for the bottom of the north island being thrown up for wind gusts!!

Does look like the storm will peak about or just after game time. I wonder what level of wind would be needed for a game to need to be delayed on safety grounds? Will make interesting viewing but not sure will ever see quite the visual effect of wind in that "new" stadium as at the old Athletic park. That ground was built on a saddle between two hills and aligned North/South? No wonder it caught the wind.

cbm wrote:

Bradley wrote:Looking at the charts for Saturday I'm picking the Hurricane's vs Sharks game on Saturday night in Wellington to be one of the windiest matches ever played, some crazy numbers for the bottom of the north island being thrown up for wind gusts!!

Does look like the storm will peak about or just after game time. I wonder what level of wind would be needed for a game to need to be delayed on safety grounds? Will make interesting viewing but not sure will ever see quite the visual effect of wind in that "new" stadium as at the old Athletic park. That ground was built on a saddle between two hills and aligned North/South? No wonder it caught the wind.

I wouldn't get too excited yet. Top NW gusts these days have generally been significantly lower than 30+ years ago.

I see it is currently 25C in Sydney, the warm air moving across NZ this weekend. Overnight Saturday into Sunday looks unusually warm for Auckland, 17C showing at 3am, dewpoint16C ( GFS) but the warm air is on the move.

I the mean time we should be in for a milder night now that a NW wind has come up.

Met Service have an average wind speed of 100 km/h for Waipara 4.00pm Sunday but only 15km/h at the same time Culverden

Looks like potential for good blow over the North Island with the front early tomorrow. Modelled 850mb wind 65knots gives an idea of the calibre of the upper flow.

Looking squally over the west of the country tomorrow with colder airmass moving in.

Is the 24C recorded in Kaikoura today believable? I am highly sceptical.

NZstorm wrote:Is the 24C recorded in Kaikoura today believable? I am highly sceptical.

I highly doubt it, my station recorded a high of 18.9C and i would have thought kaikoura would be very similar given the NW influence

Could be? Got up to 20C today,
Quite pleasant doing outside chores, as we intend to pack up from here and move to Geraldine.

My station at Rangiora Recorded 23C today I see.

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NZstorm wrote:Is the 24C recorded in Kaikoura today believable? I am highly sceptical.

Yes, 23.5C at Kaikoura Aero today according to MS. Kaikoura can get some pretty extreme fohn temps, like the 23.5C Kaikoura Peninsula also recorded last month.

MS also had 21.9C at Napier Aero today, which equals its July 1998 record, since records began there in 1974. Napier's Nelson Park also recorded 21.9C in 1998, beaten only by its 22.9C in 1954 and 23.1C in 1942, since uninterupted records began there in 1905.

21 here in Chch, felt warmer- so yes I'd beleive the Kaikoura one

I am in Kaikoura this weekend, and though it was warm earlier it didn't feel quite like 24 on the peninsula or in the town. Still 18C now at the airport, wind picking up after not being too strong all day.

Bradley wrote:Looking at the charts for Saturday I'm picking the Hurricane's vs Sharks game on Saturday night in Wellington to be one of the windiest matches ever played, some crazy numbers for the bottom of the north island being thrown up for wind gusts!!

I wouldn't get too excited yet. Top NW gusts these days have generally been significantly lower than 30+ years ago.[/quote]

Smithy said that was the worst game weather-wise he has ever commentated in 30 years!!

Nev wrote:
MS also had 21.9C at Napier Aero today, which equals its July 1998 record, since records began there in 1974. Napier's Nelson Park also recorded 21.9C in 1998, beaten only by its 22.9C in 1954 and 23.1C in 1942, since uninterupted records began there in 1905.

This was expected for this WE. So, congratulations to those forecasting a warm Saturday.

Bradley wrote:

Bradley wrote:Looking at the charts for Saturday I'm picking the Hurricane's vs Sharks game on Saturday night in Wellington to be one of the windiest matches ever played, some crazy numbers for the bottom of the north island being thrown up for wind gusts!!

I wouldn't get too excited yet. Top NW gusts these days have generally been significantly lower than 30+ years ago.

Smithy said that was the worst game weather-wise he has ever commentated in 30 years!![/quote]

Might have been one of the worst at the Stadium, but that doesn't go back that far. Compared to games like the one at Athletic Park in a southerly gale in August 1961, it would fall short.

18c here at 1am and gusting to 120kmh NWer

Wind rapidly rising here and over 15c here. Rain about to start by the looks.

On the graveyard @ Auckland airport, gusting 37kts at present and temp snuck upto 19C briefly, light showers keeping the dust down! Thunderstorms activity out west, risk of a flash or two between 3am and 6am.

Almost 2.30am here in Glenfield, and the temp has risen to 17.8 from 17.3 at 2.00am. Raining, blustery, and a couple of rumbles of thunder from the west.

Chris W wrote:I am in Kaikoura this weekend, and though it was warm earlier it didn't feel quite like 24 on the peninsula or in the town. Still 18C now at the airport, wind picking up after not being too strong all day.

Yes, MS have 20.1C for Kaikoura Peninsular yesterday arvo, compared to 23.5C for Kaikoura Aero about 8 km down the coast in Peketa. Temp differences between the 2 sites like this don't appear to be all that unusual. This inland Kaikoura PWS about 300m asl also recorded 22.5C yesterday, which seems to add some credibility to the airport reading.