NZ Weather Forum

At the moment, it looks like a return to the westerlys to start off October, once this late September upper level "Clagg" clears away.

Here comes the westerlies!

Thunderstorm chances for both the North Island and Otago/South Canterbury on Sunday.

Monday looking another unstable day for Canterbury and Sunday for Otago

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First foggy morning for the month

Just had a nice little afternoon thunderstorm pass over Palmy. Temperature has dropped from 20C to 13C, in the last hour.

So this cool cloudy weather is over 2 weeks old now and am getting over it. I'd guess we've had maybe 6 hours of sunshine over that time. Pretty tough school holiday weather. Change to westerlies will at least give us something different but cool cloudiness looks like it'll be continuing.

Foggy morning yesterday, did see the sun for a while in the afternoon, then I think it was foggy again last night;
currently overcast, sunless, and it has been drizzling.

Had been hoping to view the crescent Moon and Venus together in the evening sky yesterday or this evening:

http://earthsky.org/tonight/moon-and-ve ... -october-3

Going to be an interesting looking first week of October. Looks as though some cold upper troughs making there way up over the country with potential thunderstorm set ups. Have to see how it all pans out

.....as long as we get rid of the 'Clagg', timing or whatever?
That's why we're moving to Geraldine, for more exciting weather

mikestormchaser wrote:Going to be an interesting looking first week of October. Looks as though some cold upper troughs making there way up over the country with potential thunderstorm set ups. Have to see how it all pans out

Yeah deaf can see a couple days in the next week to keep an eye on.

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03Stormchaser wrote:

mikestormchaser wrote:Going to be an interesting looking first week of October. Looks as though some cold upper troughs making there way up over the country with potential thunderstorm set ups. Have to see how it all pans out

Yeah deaf can see a couple days in the next week to keep an eye on.

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Thursday is one day I'm watching and if Sunday stayed the way it is, would be a big day! Certainly gfs suggesting some upper troughs

Thursday is one day I'm watching and if Sunday stayed the way it is, would be a big day! Certainly gfs suggesting some upper troughs

Yup both days I have my eye on as well

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Some good signs in around 5-7 days of some good rain in Canterbury, let's hope this is the start of a wetter pattern much the same as what most of Australia experienced in September...

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:At the moment, it looks like a return to the westerlys to start off October, once this late September upper level "Clagg" clears away.

It is very depressing John! I'm sick of this cloudy crap myself. And a cold dreary NE. Time for a strong NW front to blow it all away, followed by a very unstable day with thunderstorms!

Another 17mm of unneeded rain here overnight!

David wrote:Another 17mm of unneeded rain here overnight!

I don't mind the rain coming through at night. Looks like a fine Wednesday with westerly.

Looking squally over the west and north of the North Island Thursday and Friday. Severe squalls possible later tomorrow.
Western areas should hear some thunder at some stage in the 2 days. Maybe Canterbury Thursday pm too.

500mb 1am Friday

Unneeded rain 15mm here too and everywhere between Waikato and Auckland. Another 30mm potentially to come in the next two days.

Yes, looking manly fine for the upper North Island today then a messy few weather days coming up. Thundery squalls later Thursday into Friday.

jamie wrote:Unneeded rain 15mm here too and everywhere between Waikato and Auckland. Another 30mm potentially to come in the next two days.

Send some down here!

Razor wrote:

jamie wrote:Unneeded rain 15mm here too and everywhere between Waikato and Auckland. Another 30mm potentially to come in the next two days.

Send some down here!

I wish I could. Nearly had 20mm since midnight. We are wet here but nothing like South Auckland. Boy are they wet!

Bad wording for tomorrow's forecast for Canterbury.
Brief rain , followed by a few showers
What's the difference between brief rain and a few showers?
Maybe the rain will last about 5 minutes and the showers, if they do fall, will be in periods of about one minute at a time,

Could be some pm thunder south of Timaru today? Looks very cold aloft, but will the convergence be too far inland as has been the problem for the east of the South Island so far this spring.

Up at Mt cook for the half marathon and its a bit bloody rough weather wise today.

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NZstorm wrote:Could be some pm thunder south of Timaru today? Looks very cold aloft, but will the convergence be too far inland as has been the problem for the east of the South Island so far this spring.

Have had my eye on this most of the week, always seemed like something was missing though.

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So great to have the beautiful weather today in Auckland, not been much weather like this of late. My station has recorded 215 mm of rain in the last 30 days.