NZ Weather Forum

NZstorm wrote:Thunder on the cards for the upper North Island later today. Looks probable that convection will develop on a warm front moving south later today. An upper trough moving in as well. Auckland is certainly in the risk zone.

Yes I think that warm front could spark something off Auckland ways, especially with that trough to support it.

Indeed David, a little puzzled that Metservice has no risk over central Auckland, deems a low risk at least.

The moisture is shallow and that will be why the gfs is not breaking out more significant precip. If storms don't fire, it will be moisture related I think.

I see the Facebook warriors have dailed back there "Demands respect" forecasting for the weekend, guess that's makes a true professional weather forecaster not reading models.

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NZstorm wrote: Auckland is certainly in the risk zone.

Tomorrow mornings front looks a rainy mess with some embedded thunder. Further cold air convection in the afternoon over Northland/Auckland.

Yes. Get those 'magnets' out

melja wrote:I see the Facebook warriors have dailed back there "Demands respect" forecasting for the weekend, guess that's makes a true professional weather forecaster not reading models.

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One of the reasons I got rid of my Facebook account a while ago, full of keyboard warriors and stupidity that seemed to just bring my day down after a daily browsing session. life's so much better without the nonsense ...but means i spend more time on here...

I see some cb have popped up over Northland/North Auckland but no lightning. Moisture is too weak by the looks of it.

There are some evening thunderstorms over Northland

Certainly been an active night over the North Island. Could see distant flashes right throughout the night to the north of here. Here's the last 12 hours to 6am this morn…

Fog here this morning, visibility maybe 50 metres

Was an electrical storm in the distance about 2am I'm told, but I was ZZZzzzz (No thunder and I'll sleep straight through an electrical storm at night). Quite heavy rain did wake me about 1.30am. Weather is nice looking to the NE this morning, looking a lil threatening to the SW currently, enjoying the sun.

300mb jet pattern overnight. Quite an intense polar jet is Tasman with exit region over North Island. Always a good jet pattern for thunderstorms at this time of year.

The top of Northland really catching the Tstorms. More Tstorms moving onto the west of Northland now.

have had a lot of thunder and lightning since midnight but eased off in last few hours

Cloudy day here with nothing much happening, sadly
Nothing much to look forward to except for some possibly violent drizzle this evening.

Good thunder approaching from the north west - Swanson, Auckland.

Hail now, good squall

Yes, convection brewing up in the Auckland area. Day has warmed a bit with temp 16C.

Big thunder (and temp drop) out west.

Rumble of thunder here.

Rain has arrived here, thunder heard.

Huge flash, loud thunder here just now !
Looks active over the Gulf currently

Thunder now in South Auckland, heavy rain mixed with hail.

Watched that thunderstorm move in over Howick, was very fast! Looked like we might have a gust front but didn't eventuate. Some quite loud booms of thunder though and heavy rain.

Wow a cloudburst hail storm here. Everything is as white as snow. I'll get a vid up shortly

Heavy squally rain just hit here with thunder preceding that.

Hows this!