New Severe-Concection Outlook

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NZ Thunderstorm Soc
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New Severe-Concection Outlook

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

In response to MetService's new Severe-Convection Outlook, starting November 1stI am going to put one out too, but only on this forum.
This will be from October the 1st to March 31st which is the NZTS thunderstorm season for Canterbury.
I will put an alert on the forum if anything is likely to happen and use a scale of 1 to 5.
It won't be daily but if any indication of anything likely I will put a posting up.
Today,for example, would of been 1 out of 5 but judging the NE came up from an oncoming anticyclone/rige it was soon flagged away.
In no way I expect people to respect this outlook as gospel and will not be responsible for any damage/etc whatsoever by my indication.
All my indications will be based from my experiences of thunderstorm potential observation here over the past 40 years. :)


JohnGaul
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NZstorm
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Unread post by NZstorm »

Excellent John.

I look forward to following it. I think you would do a better job than the Met Service regarding forecasting storms in Canterbury. :D
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Thunder
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Unread post by Thunder »

Same here John, I look foward to it! Maybe in future we can have a convective outlook appearing on the NZTS website in future from you in the form of a few lines of writing or something like that. Updates would only need to happen when something looks likely maybe? I'd show you how to upload the info, it's really easy!

Where is the metservice convective outlook going to appear? The PRESS or the web, or both?
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Aaron Wilkinson
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NZ Thunderstorm Soc
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Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Aaron J Wilkinson wrote:Same here John, I look foward to it! Maybe in future we can have a convective outlook appearing on the NZTS website in future from you in the form of a few lines of writing or something like that. Updates would only need to happen when something looks likely maybe? I'd show you how to upload the info, it's really easy!
That sounds like a good idea, Aaron :)

Where is the metservice convective outlook going to appear? The PRESS or the web, or both?
I presume that MetService wil put the Outlook with their other severe weather warnings.

JohnGaul
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NZ Thunderstorm Soc
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Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

This is the 2nd of alertness
Tomorow Tues 5th Oct

1

Johngaul
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NZ Thunderstorm Soc
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Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:This is the 2nd of alertness
Tomorow Tues 5th Oct

1

Johngaul
NZTS
I must add there is a colour coded level of alertness

Blue not likey but the potential is there
Indigo quite probable
Violet yes looks likely
Orange quite on the cards
Red definately


JohnGaul
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NZ Thunderstorm Soc
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Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Apart from blue, the colour coding did not come out. :evil:
Steven, what happened?



JohnGaul
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Unread post by Skywatcher »

Now fixed.

You hadn't put anything inside the "color" tags so there was no text to show the colour :)
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NZ Thunderstorm Soc
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Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Steven Graham wrote:Now fixed.

You hadn't put anything inside the "color" tags so there was no text to show the colour :)
Oh! #-o :oops:

....anyway I dropped my rating to zero at 9am when I realized that today was going to be a fizzer :( .

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Unread post by 03Stormchaser »

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: ....anyway I dropped my rating to zero at 9am when I realized that today was going to be a fizzer :( .

JohnGaul
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about as reliable as the metservice!
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NZ Thunderstorm Soc
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Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

This is the 3nd of alertness
Tommorow Sat 16th Oct

2

JohnGaul
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Unread post by 03Stormchaser »

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:This is the 3nd of alertness
Tommorow Sat 16th Oct

2

JohnGaul
NZTS
I think this is almost alittle too high alertness. I think the sun just wont be able to poke is head out enough to give us the extra warmth we need for a storm, other than that it looks all right
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NZ Thunderstorm Soc
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Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

03 Stormchaser wrote:
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:This is the 3nd of alertness
Tommorow Sat 16th Oct

2

JohnGaul
NZTS
I think this is almost alittle too high alertness. I think the sun just wont be able to poke is head out enough to give us the extra warmth we need for a storm, other than that it looks all right
With the sun I would of given a 3 or possibly 4 :) \:D/

...but anyway, I hope that something interesting eventuates as i think we are in for boring times ahead :( :cry: :cry:

...sorry to be a Dull-boot :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry:

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Unread post by 03Stormchaser »

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: With the sun I would of given a 3 or possibly 4 :) \:D/

...but anyway, I hope that something interesting eventuates as i think we are in for boring times ahead :( :cry: :cry:

...sorry to be a Dull-boot :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry: :cry:

JohnGaul
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........now john we dont want another negative poster ;)
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NZ Thunderstorm Soc
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Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

03 Stormchaser wrote:
........now john we dont want another negative poster ;)
It could a good time to promote my opposite...

... the NZAAA :-w

...but then .... Who REALLY want's an anticyclone?

Hands up all those on this forum would like to see anticyclonic conditions at this time of year?
I bet the only person would be Michael :)


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Michael
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Unread post by Michael »

Agasin we just getting boring weather,its not hot,its not settled and to be honest its not extreme with tornadoes,thunder or lightening,its just windy with SW and showers/rain mostly and useless weather to enjoy :oops:
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:
03 Stormchaser wrote:
........now john we dont want another negative poster ;)
It could a good time to promote my opposite...

... the NZAAA :-w

...but then .... Who REALLY want's an anticyclone?

Hands up all those on this forum would like to see anticyclonic conditions at this time of year?
I bet the only person would be Michael :)


JohnGaul
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