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New Severe-Concection Outlook
Posted: Sat 25/09/2004 17:09
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
In response to MetService's new Severe-Convection Outlook, starting November 1stI am going to put one out too, but only on this forum.
This will be from October the 1st to March 31st which is the NZTS thunderstorm season for Canterbury.
I will put an alert on the forum if anything is likely to happen and use a scale of 1 to 5.
It won't be daily but if any indication of anything likely I will put a posting up.
Today,for example, would of been 1 out of 5 but judging the NE came up from an oncoming anticyclone/rige it was soon flagged away.
In no way I expect people to respect this outlook as gospel and will not be responsible for any damage/etc whatsoever by my indication.
All my indications will be based from my experiences of thunderstorm potential observation here over the past 40 years.
JohnGaul
NZTS
Posted: Sat 25/09/2004 17:17
by NZstorm
Excellent John.
I look forward to following it. I think you would do a better job than the Met Service regarding forecasting storms in Canterbury.
Posted: Sat 25/09/2004 20:30
by Thunder
Same here John, I look foward to it! Maybe in future we can have a convective outlook appearing on the NZTS website in future from you in the form of a few lines of writing or something like that. Updates would only need to happen when something looks likely maybe? I'd show you how to upload the info, it's really easy!
Where is the metservice convective outlook going to appear? The PRESS or the web, or both?
Posted: Sat 25/09/2004 23:29
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Aaron J Wilkinson wrote:Same here John, I look foward to it! Maybe in future we can have a convective outlook appearing on the NZTS website in future from you in the form of a few lines of writing or something like that. Updates would only need to happen when something looks likely maybe? I'd show you how to upload the info, it's really easy!
That sounds like a good idea, Aaron
Where is the metservice convective outlook going to appear? The PRESS or the web, or both?
I presume that MetService wil put the Outlook with their other severe weather warnings.
JohnGaul
NZTS
Posted: Mon 04/10/2004 23:43
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
This is the 2nd of alertness
Tomorow Tues 5th Oct
1
Johngaul
NZTS
Posted: Mon 04/10/2004 23:49
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:This is the 2nd of alertness
Tomorow Tues 5th Oct
1
Johngaul
NZTS
I must add there is a colour coded level of alertness
Blue not likey but the potential is there
Indigo quite probable
Violet yes looks likely
Orange quite on the cards
Red definately
JohnGaul
NZTS
Posted: Mon 04/10/2004 23:53
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Apart from
blue, the colour coding did not come out.
Steven, what happened?
JohnGaul
NZTS
Posted: Tue 05/10/2004 07:41
by Skywatcher
Now fixed.
You hadn't put anything inside the "color" tags so there was no text to show the colour
Posted: Tue 05/10/2004 16:53
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Steven Graham wrote:Now fixed.
You hadn't put anything inside the "color" tags so there was no text to show the colour
Oh!
....anyway I dropped my rating to zero at 9am when I realized that today was going to be a fizzer
.
JohnGaul
NZTS
Posted: Tue 05/10/2004 20:15
by 03Stormchaser
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:
....anyway I dropped my rating to zero at 9am when I realized that today was going to be a fizzer
.
JohnGaul
NZTS
about as reliable as the metservice!
Posted: Fri 15/10/2004 20:06
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
This is the 3nd of alertness
Tommorow Sat 16th Oct
2
JohnGaul
NZTS
Posted: Fri 15/10/2004 23:31
by 03Stormchaser
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:This is the 3nd of alertness
Tommorow Sat 16th Oct
2
JohnGaul
NZTS
I think this is almost alittle too high alertness. I think the sun just wont be able to poke is head out enough to give us the extra warmth we need for a storm, other than that it looks all right
Posted: Fri 15/10/2004 23:47
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Posted: Fri 15/10/2004 23:55
by 03Stormchaser
........now john we dont want another negative poster
Posted: Sat 16/10/2004 00:10
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
03 Stormchaser wrote:
........now john we dont want another negative poster
It could a good time to promote my opposite...
... the NZAAA
...but then .... Who REALLY want's an anticyclone?
Hands up all those on this forum would like to see anticyclonic conditions at this time of year?
I bet the only person would be Michael
JohnGaul
NZTS
Posted: Sat 16/10/2004 09:41
by Michael
Agasin we just getting boring weather,its not hot,its not settled and to be honest its not extreme with tornadoes,thunder or lightening,its just windy with SW and showers/rain mostly and useless weather to enjoy
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:03 Stormchaser wrote:
........now john we dont want another negative poster
It could a good time to promote my opposite...
... the NZAAA
...but then .... Who REALLY want's an anticyclone?
Hands up all those on this forum would like to see anticyclonic conditions at this time of year?
I bet the only person would be Michael
JohnGaul
NZTS
