Fine and about time

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Sun 31/10/2004 10:45

Fine here and finally about time and its a weekend day.Perhaps I will post it on the aussie record breaking forum

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Sun 31/10/2004 11:32

SouthWest gale here with horizontal rain,

when will it end

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Sun 31/10/2004 13:45

Overcast and dull here, 16c, light winds.

Light showers forecast tomorrow by GFS, then fine from tuesday

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sun 31/10/2004 14:18

aussie record breaking forum

michael, they don't have a moderator over there, so go for it.

Good layer of stratocu here now. Midday sounding shows a whopping temperature inversion over us. It will be interesting to see what comes of that weak trough tomorrow. I can't see it coming to much but Met Service are predicting late showers inland.

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Sun 31/10/2004 14:28

Well at least we got a record 5 hours uninteruped sunshine

Manukau heads obs · Sun 31/10/2004 16:06

the cloud is actualy coming down from the north ( i can tell on my animated web cam image)

we have had a moderate to fresh SWer here this afternoon, which has taken the shine of the day a bit

Thunder · Unread post by **Thunder** » Sun 31/10/2004 16:48

Nice day today, 20 C at some personal stations but 18 C at the airpoirt. A few nice inland buildups of Cu have occured on the edge of this high with a low forming. Tomorrow a few more are ment to occur.

Edited: 16 minutes later

Cu is looking quite nice now. Newly attached pic.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sun 31/10/2004 18:06

Cu is looking quite nice now.

Some low level instability across the country(under 2000m) but too dry for larger clouds/showers to form.

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Sun 31/10/2004 19:01

Guess its not a record ..yet.Perhaps we will get it in November

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Sun 31/10/2004 21:40

Mostly fine here.

NE sea breeze turned SW seabreeze late afternoon

. We're very privileged here, we get two different sea breezes.

The SW seabreeze was the cooler.

Thunder · Unread post by **Thunder** » Mon 01/11/2004 09:50

Ummm....Where's the new convective outlook thing on the Metservice site?

I've probably missed it somewhere and am to dumb to see the obvious, or isn't it there yet? I'm guessing nothing too convective worthy to note today, is that why it's not there?

Skywatcher · Unread post by **Skywatcher** » Mon 01/11/2004 11:30

The new Thunderstorm Outlook has now appeared on the Warnings page

Thunder · Unread post by **Thunder** » Mon 01/11/2004 12:27

Ahh yes, there it goes! I thought it would've likely to of been on the warnings page but it wasn't there this morning. Who cares, it is now!

Look at the spicy ingrediants to chose from:

MetService uses the following criteria for severe thunderstorms in New Zealand:

* Heavy rain (from thunderstorms): Rainfall of 25 millimetres per hour, or more.
* Large hail: Hailstones 20 millimetres in diameter, or larger.
* Strong wind gusts (from thunderstorms): Gusts of 110 kilometres per hour (60 knots) or stronger.
* Damaging tornadoes: Fujita F1 (wind speeds greater than 116 kilometres per hour (63 knots)) or stronger.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Mon 01/11/2004 13:37

Have just seen the new MetService Thunderstorm outlook on thier Website, an excellent addition.

A fine, warm day here in Auckland today

no Thunderstorms.

Manukau heads obs · Mon 01/11/2004 19:30

excellent!
hats off to the met service yet again

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Mon 01/11/2004 21:41

I find that this month is going to be quite anticyclonic (as I made in earlier predictions....and i hope I'm wrong?) so it might be a while before we can test MetServic'es predictions and have a good ' mother of' thunderstorms to really test Steven and Ricky's Boltex lightning recorders.
Maybe next month ...or Jan or Feb or March
....even nexy year???

JohnGaul
NZTS

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Tue 02/11/2004 22:20

I find that this month is going to be quite anticyclonic (as I made in earlier predictions....and i hope I'm wrong?) so it might be a while before we can test MetServic'es predictions and have a good ' mother of' thunderstorms to really test Steven and Ricky's Boltex lightning recorders.
Maybe next month ...or Jan or Feb or March

UNISYS long-range 9 day outlook looks relatively anticyclonic for NZ, with only a weak southerly for later in the period.

Thunder · Unread post by **Thunder** » Wed 03/11/2004 14:23

Yes John. I'd agree with you there (hope I'm wrong to!). I think the later half of November though might be interesting?!