Disturbed Week Ahead

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Sun 02/05/2004 21:09

...looks like, for the first week of May, could be an interesting week.

With a change of weather systems, Auckland has already copped it, now for the rest of the country, this week could see some weather

thunder may be a possibilty here in eastern districts, possibly Thursday at the moment $\:D/$

JohnGaul
NZTS

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Sun 02/05/2004 21:16

Just looks like a westerly flow arriving for us but usually the SI West coast &south coast cops a westerly flow as far as storms is concerned

The first week of May is often warm then it really packsup in the 3rd week when the jetstream stays over the country

ie depression after depression

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sun 02/05/2004 21:23

Tasman sea is looking very unstable tonight.

Should be some good thunderstorms in the west.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Sun 02/05/2004 23:21

....I'll also add it dosen't look that eventful now towards the end of the week/WE with anticyclonic conditions returning

JohnGaul
NZTS

Thunder · Unread post by **Thunder** » Sun 02/05/2004 23:21

Yes, hopefully something comes here for eastern districts. These NW type winds should get things warmed up so thats good. As long on the day of "thunderstorms" a NE wind is preceding the front or whatever.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Sun 02/05/2004 23:37

Aaron J Wilkinson wrote:Yes, hopefully something comes here for eastern districts. These NW type winds should get things warmed up so thats good. As long on the day of "thunderstorms" a NE wind is preceding the front or whatever.

...yes, well Aaron, MetService are predicting thunder and hail tomorrow night, here, for a start

I doubt it but wait and see what happens?

JohnGaul
NZTS

Gary Roberts · Unread post by **Gary Roberts** » Sun 02/05/2004 23:45

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:...looks like, for the first week of May, could be an interesting week.
With a change of weather systems, Auckland has already copped it, now for the rest of the country, this week could see some weather
thunder may be a possibilty here in eastern districts, possibly Thursday at the moment $\:D/$

JohnGaul
NZTS

We've had rain and some hail here for the past few hours. I noticed they're predicting more snow (down to 800m) for the area again tomorrow afternoon.

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Mon 03/05/2004 07:46

Perhaps for eastern areas

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:....I'll also add it dosen't look that eventful now towards the end of the week/WE with anticyclonic conditions returning

JohnGaul
NZTS

Manukau heads obs · Mon 03/05/2004 16:39

it will be intereseting to see what happens to the aproaching next cold front when it passes under the stationary jet stream which is over the far north at the moment (we are right on the edge of it here,one half of the sky is blue, the other half white then gray

Gary Roberts · Unread post by **Gary Roberts** » Mon 03/05/2004 16:56

The weather has closed-in here quickly. Low, low cloud, rain (snow on the tops) and getting quite cold.

Andy · Unread post by **Andy** » Mon 03/05/2004 17:39

7mm since 4pm.. YA

Temp 8 degrees

Dean. · Unread post by **Dean.** » Mon 03/05/2004 21:24

The southwest change has arrived here at 9.00pm,the unusual sound of heavy rain on the roof is great.
Looks like it will be all over quickly looking at the satellite.

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Mon 03/05/2004 21:52

The southwest change has arrived here at 9.00pm,the unusual sound of heavy rain on the roof is great.
Looks like it will be all over quickly looking at the satellite.

Some action on the coast down from Ashburton according to the 9PM radar. The change just hit central Chch a few minutes ago - still dry as I write, but this could easily change very soon.

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Mon 03/05/2004 21:55

When the horizontal rain drives hard into the windows making them buckle we will know the change is here

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Mon 03/05/2004 22:19

Well no surprise - the rain arrived here about 10 minutes ago. Quite an intense shower, but only liquid stuff, and no sign (that I've noticed - John, Aaron have you seen/heard any?) of any thunderstorm activity.

Manukau heads obs · Mon 03/05/2004 22:31

10:30 pm
just saw and logged the first lightning flash...away out to the west of somewhere from the approaching cold front

NWer slowly increasing here....
http://www.weather-display.com/windy/otherdat.gif

Gary Roberts · Unread post by **Gary Roberts** » Mon 03/05/2004 22:53

Manukau heads observer wrote:10:30 pm
just saw and logged the first lightning flash...away out to the west of somewhere from the approaching cold front
NWer slowly increasing here....
http://www.weather-display.com/windy/otherdat.gif

Bah! Looks like Omarama's action-weather was over before it even begun! Well I hope you guys up there get a good show.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Mon 03/05/2004 23:18

tich wrote:Well no surprise - the rain arrived here about 10 minutes ago. Quite an intense shower, but only liquid stuff, and no sign (that I've noticed - John, Aaron have you seen/heard any?) of any thunderstorm activity.

Yeah, the southerly squall went through here at 2210hrs, solid rain with 3.3mm to 11pm. No electrical activity whatsoever, quite dead.

If Metstrike shows anything, theyre lying.

Yes Aaron, I got your emails. Much thought involved but hopefully I'll get back to you tomorrow on them.
In the meanwhilst, I'm off to bed. Had a busy day, shifting top-soil

JohnGaul
NZTS

Thunder · Unread post by **Thunder** » Mon 03/05/2004 23:51

No lightning here at all, I can safely say that no lightning has occured anywhere in Canterbury today.

Cheers John

Manukau heads obs · Mon 03/05/2004 23:53

rain starting here
17oC at midngith is pretty good!
only 4 lightning counts so far, so not much happening
time to hit the sack

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Tue 04/05/2004 07:07

An area of coldie cb crossing the Auckland region this morning. Had a real heavy shower here in the last hour. Saw lightning and heard a couple of rumbles of thunder (distant) around 3.30am this morning after I got woken by a heavy shower.

Day looks like it will fine up.

Manukau heads obs · Tue 04/05/2004 08:11

just had a good squall go through, gusted to 49 knots, and the temperature dropped to 11oc

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Tue 04/05/2004 09:00

Showers are clearing now, currently 13c, dew point 9c so it feels cool after recent days.

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Tue 04/05/2004 21:51

Batten down the hatches - a real norwest blow is expected hit tomorrow.

Whether Chch gets the 120kph+ gusts or not (we normally get weaker gusts than inland Canty in these situations), many eastern areas certainly look like they're gonna get hammered.

Not as warm today as yesterday - a legacy of last night's cool change. Fresh snow on Ruapehu today - I'd forgotten that snow had earlier been predicted for the Desert Road for early today. Yo-yo temperatures this week, with northwesterlies alternating with colder southwest changes. Another cold change seems likely for late tomorrow and into Thursday. I gather (from looking at the Aussie weather forum) that snow has been falling to quite low levels in Tasmania today, and this is the airmass expected to reach us following the norwest blast.

Gary Roberts · Unread post by **Gary Roberts** » Tue 04/05/2004 21:55

tich wrote:Batten down the hatches - a real norwest blow is expected hit tomorrow. Whether Chch gets the 120kph+ gusts or not (we normally get weaker gusts than inland Canty in these situations), many eastern areas certainly look like they're gonna get hammered.

Not as warm today as yesterday - a legacy of last night's cool change. Fresh snow on Ruapehu today - I'd forgotten that snow had earlier been predicted for the Desert Road for early today. Yo-yo temperatures this week, with northwesterlies alternating with colder southwest changes. Another cold change seems likely for late tomorrow and into Thursday. I gather (from looking at the Aussie weather forum) that snow has been falling to quite low levels in Tasmania today, and this is the airmass expected to reach us following the norwest blast.

We got a lot of fresh snow overnight down here. I'm hoping to see new windspeed records set on my stations tomorrow too!

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