Low in Tasman after BOP flooding Low

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Mon 19/07/2004 11:34

This low is it going to "punch" through the narrow ridge and extend to the BOP flooding Low? The wind is fresh SW and the wind shouldve died with cirus etc from the new low by now

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Mon 19/07/2004 13:38

Low in the central Tasman still looks quite active this morning and will bring the risk of heavy rain to Northern parts later tomorrow.

A fine, sunny and mild day here .

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Mon 19/07/2004 19:25

Yes, some unstable air in that low. Its catching a bit of moisture out there in the north Tasman, hence the active looking convection. But as it moves onto northern NZ it will run into drier air, hence I don't expect much from this low.

Manukau heads obs · Mon 19/07/2004 20:07

yeah,the first cloud sheet is just high cloud...no bottom to it...by the looks
there is no real rain on the rain radar...out to the west
the 2nd cloud sheet, the actual front, is more active.....
northland will get rain, and top of the coromendal
i dont think the auckland area will get too much...

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Mon 19/07/2004 20:15

Its pretty cold here to so it will look likely to move across the top then out over the bop or furthur east to give us a southerly

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Tue 20/07/2004 15:52

still hasn't made a lot of impact apart from thickening cloud,guess we will know about it when it passes east with the familar SW

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Tue 20/07/2004 16:13

The latest NOAA map is up now and looks like the worst is going to the B.O.P

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Wed 21/07/2004 18:33

The low that was supposed to have crossed the north of NZ today has come from off the NSW coast - where it has been responsible for an icy blast in SE Australia, bringing gales and heavy snow to the high country there. I don't know whether cold air associated with that storm would still be present by the time the system has reached the North Island (no more supply of cold air from high latitudes?), but there was a snowfall advisory for the Desert Road this morning.

Manukau heads obs · Wed 21/07/2004 18:41

we made it to 13oC here today
and it didnt go much below 10oC overnight either
no snow here!
LOL

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Wed 21/07/2004 18:52

The low looks fairly tame its just the crap dragged up over its top with the gales for the NI tomorrow

tich wrote:The low that was supposed to have crossed the north of NZ today has come from off the NSW coast - where it has been responsible for an icy blast in SE Australia, bringing gales and heavy snow to the high country there. I don't know whether cold air associated with that storm would still be present by the time the system has reached the North Island (no more supply of cold air from high latitudes?), but there was a snowfall advisory for the Desert Road this morning.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Wed 21/07/2004 19:40

The low looks fairly tame its just the crap dragged up over its top with the gales for the NI tomorrow

Michael, take another look at the prognosis charts. There's a big JAFA on the way (Just Another Fine Anticyclone). Auckland will yet again enjoy another extended period of sunny weather this winter. $\:D/$

Actually, this coming weekend looks perfect for skiing on Ruapehu, apart from the crowds.